---
type: "Topics"
locale: "en"
url: "https://longbridge.com/en/topics/42396268.md"
description: "Of course, some people will still say that the rise in the past two days means bad luck for the year. Agreed, but the market always needs to do the math carefully, after investing so much, whether it can actually break even. $Microsoft(MSFT.US)$Amazon(AMZN.US)$Alphabet - C(GOOG.US)$NVIDIA(NVDA.US)"
datetime: "2026-07-02T15:28:50.000Z"
locales:
  - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/topics/42396268.md)
  - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/topics/42396268.md)
  - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/topics/42396268.md)
author: "[大雪雪的交易员](https://longbridge.com/en/profiles/13227469.md)"
---

# Of course, some people will still say that the ris…


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## Comments (17)

- **无限制星级格斗士 · 2026-07-02T16:27:18.000Z · 👍 1**: Not trying to put each other down:Just like the joke goes, three consecutive green candles can change one's beliefs.A year-long surge at this scale can easily create a mental imprint. While the narrative is correct, and the profits and shortages are real, the key question is whether the stock price 
- **彩子 · 2026-07-02T16:17:35.000Z**: Some people have overreacted to the cyclical nature of things. Does it really have to be considered lucky only if it's been stored away from the beginning of the year until now?
- **周树人的交易员 · 2026-07-02T15:52:21.000Z**: The most unnecessary thing this year is the mutual bashing between two groups of people. I'm tired of watching it.😑
  - **大雪雪的交易员** (2026-07-02T16:02:48.000Z): Actually, both are right, but the market always has to go up and down and churn.
  - **周树人的交易员** (2026-07-02T16:04:39.000Z): So just look at your own annualized rate of return; as long as it meets expectations, it's fine. The probability of doubling or halving in the short term is the same.
  - **无限制星级格斗士** (2026-07-02T16:10:55.000Z): Actually, there's no need to look at the annualized figures. Some stocks aren't suitable to be evaluated on a yearly basis, while others can only be looked at on a yearly basis.
- **虾仁 · 2026-07-02T15:45:02.000Z**: This statement makes some sense. This year, the maximum profit from US Treasury bonds + the top five Japanese trading companies' stocks was $10,000, but today I checked and that account has entered a floating loss.
- **韭菜领域大神 · 2026-07-02T15:31:10.000Z**: It definitely won't break even in the short term.
  - **大雪雪的交易员** (2026-07-02T15:33:23.000Z): Not sure in the short term, but highly likely in the long term
  - **韭菜领域大神** (2026-07-02T15:37:13.000Z): Ultimately, it still depends on whether those few major AI model companies can become profitable. Currently, Anthropic is barely ahead 😂, which shows that its marketing strategy is worth OpenAI refer
  - **大雪雪的交易员** (2026-07-02T15:38:18.000Z): a 社不需要营销，因为客户群体决定
- **GLORY · 2026-07-02T15:31:01.000Z**: This matter is getting strange🤔
  - **大雪雪的交易员** (2026-07-02T15:34:57.000Z): It's like a seesaw relationship; people always think the upstream has an infinite supply of coins, and the downstream always wins. However, they overlook the question: if there's no revenue, where wou
