---
type: "Topics"
locale: "en"
url: "https://longbridge.com/en/topics/42396793.md"
description: "Often the explosive rally point is the good news you don't know about, and the crash point is the good news you do know about. To understand this logic, the institutional big players' scythe is double-edged. Currently, we're watching this big player at 379.8; the explosive rally point is also here. It has an 8M volume, followed by 412 with 6M, and 420.8 with 4M, but it's clear that all these positions have now been arbitraged and exited. On the day of the explosive rally, it should normally pull back to 377, but the London session suddenly saw an abnormal 8M volume inflow and then rallied all the way. This means some institutions already knew about TSLA's outstanding sales figures in advance and positioned themselves early. According to today's sharp drop, it's clearly the big players taking profits and leaving. There's still a probability for 370—377–380 to return because there's still a certain amount of untraded volume there. New players are needed to take over. For today, if the closing price of the next 15-minute K-line stands above 395.8, a rebound to 405–406 is expected. In the future, 428.4 will be the long target."
datetime: "2026-07-02T15:38:14.000Z"
locales:
  - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/topics/42396793.md)
  - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/topics/42396793.md)
  - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/topics/42396793.md)
author: "[千里雨林](https://longbridge.com/en/profiles/19519327.md)"
---

# Often the explosive rally point is the good news y…


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## Comments (5)

- **路飞同学 · 2026-07-02T16:21:39.000Z**: Yes, I'll probably wait for it to hit the support level before adding more, not catching falling knives.
  - **千里雨林** (2026-07-02T17:43:27.000Z): The only intraday rebound failed, indicating that the 396-400 range is not recognized by institutions, and the price needs to continue to revert. Watch whether the bears or bulls enter the market duri
  - **路飞同学** (2026-07-02T18:45:31.000Z): Thanks for the advice. There are a lot of options at 395-400, probably all going to be wiped out today.
- **哎呀呀哎呀呀 · 2026-07-02T16:03:07.000Z**: Thanks for sharing
- **狂飙Jun · 2026-07-02T15:40:42.000Z**: Okok, that makes sense.