---
type: "Topics"
locale: "en"
url: "https://longbridge.com/en/topics/42619911.md"
description: "AI analyzed the most extreme scenario.It also referenced the deleveraging decline process of the A-share market in 2015. Back then, I sold off roughly 70% of my position at the round number of 4500 points, held on until it dropped to just over 3000 points to start bottom-fishing, it eventually fell to 2850, I bottom-fished too early, and then left the market with a small profit after a rebound.The Shanghai Composite Index fell 45%, the ChiNext fell a maximum of 55.9%, with seven or eight consecutive limit-down days. At the bottom, there were limit-up from limit-down days, followed by three consecutive limit-up days. It ruthlessly harvested the wealth of a generation, completely damaging the A-share market's vitality for 10 years.Korean stock deleveraging is unrelated to fundamentals. Any deleveraging involves forced liquidation of leveraged positions, leading to a chain reaction of declines. The data received today shows a cumulative 1.2 million retail investors' leverage has triggered margin calls, accounting for about 8%. 320,000 to 360,000 accounts have been forcibly liquidated, accounting for about 2.5%.AI simulated the most extreme deleveraging scenario, which is SK Hynix falling 60% from its peak. I think that's impossible, but a 50% drop is possible.Regardless, if you're trapped in it, be prepared for the worst-case scenario. If you're bottom-fishing, consider the worst-case scenario (which likely won't happen) for your largest chunk of capital.As for my own strategy, I don't hold long-term positions; I take the rebound and exit. Given this heavy blow to the memory sector, the price action emerging in the short term will definitely be weird, moving up and down irregularly.If you don't have the mental fortitude for that, stepping aside to observe is the first choice, or just stick to QQQ and the giants you're familiar with.For your reference."
datetime: "2026-07-13T12:36:51.000Z"
locales:
  - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/topics/42619911.md)
  - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/topics/42619911.md)
  - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/topics/42619911.md)
author: "[钢铁纪律](https://longbridge.com/en/profiles/13301109.md)"
---

# AI analyzed the most extreme scenario.It also refe…


### Related Stocks

- [QQQ.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/QQQ.US.md)
- [000001.CN](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/000001.CN.md)
- [399006.CN](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/399006.CN.md)

## Comments (30)

- **cheng_zi · 2026-07-13T19:14:41.000Z**: Still like listening to ldx tell stories from the past
- **哈哈龙 · 2026-07-13T14:47:43.000Z**: Can we get a rebound to run away?
- **HhhhHhH · 2026-07-13T14:38:46.000Z**: SK Hynix ADR is really different now that it's become American.
- **深蹲达人 · 2026-07-13T13:58:02.000Z**: For the underlying stock, it's highly likely to go to the 160m position, with the worst-case scenario being a 50% drop😭✋😭🤚🏼
- **新用戶_Q3B7Hg · 2026-07-13T13:41:59.000Z**: An old naive investor, huh.
- **三思又三思 · 2026-07-13T13:40:20.000Z**: Another day of software hedging
  - **阳光涨涨涨** (2026-07-13T14:05:41.000Z): The key point is that my Ruanzi didn't rise either
- **嘻嘻嘻嘻嘻嘻嘻 · 2026-07-13T13:29:37.000Z**: Bro, add more QQQ?
- **一个人的江湖 · 2026-07-13T13:13:01.000Z**: Look for an opportunity to buy some SK Hynix shares tonight, betting on a big rebound! Keep buying on dips! Wait for a good price for SanDisk, forget it if there isn't one! Micron is always there.
- **交易员阿瓜 · 2026-07-13T13:09:29.000Z · 👍 1**: Like listening to old songs and talking about market stories from the past
- **三思又三思 · 2026-07-13T13:04:19.000Z**: Bet on a rebound and got out, the fundamentals have deteriorated.
- **MLXG · 2026-07-13T12:42:43.000Z**: Almost died😂
- **Lucky2026 · 2026-07-13T12:40:29.000Z**: Talk about Myanmar A-shares, US stocks, or Korean stocks?
  - **钢铁纪律** (2026-07-13T12:42:10.000Z): South Korean stocks
  - **钢铁纪律** (2026-07-13T12:42:30.000Z): However, the trend of Korean stocks will be linked to the storage sector in the US stock market.
  - **Lucky2026** (2026-07-13T12:44:15.000Z): What about Myanmar A-shares? Please analyze, boss.
- **Ming0706 · 2026-07-13T12:39:09.000Z · 👍 1**: 1.4 million Korean Won🥹
  - **钢铁纪律** (2026-07-13T12:44:23.000Z): Most extreme
  - **Ming0706** (2026-07-13T12:45:02.000Z): Too tragic