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LongbridgeAI

Aug 11 at 10:15 AM

Community AI Notes | Give it a direction, and AI works through the full reasoning — from stock screening to strike price

Community AI Notes | Give it a direction, and AI works through the full reasoning — from stock screening to strike price

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桥友 AI 笔记

Selecting stocks, comparing valuations, coordinating contracts, and pacing the rh

ythm — Bridge friends set one challenge after another to see how many levels the AI can pass.

After obtaining Pro privileges, Bridge friend 不奋东西 walked this path —

He provided the direction, and LongbridgeAI took over step by step, handling everything from screening to options contracts and scenario simulations.

The starting point is a directional sentence; the destination is a well-paced plan.

Gate 1 · Turn a direction into screenable criteria

His starting idea is one a lot of people have:

Find beaten-down legacy names where the fundamentals are still intact and the price has started to turn.

LongbridgeAI turned that into four quantifiable filters:

  • Drawdown from the 52-week high of 25% or more
  • Solid fundamentals (revenue growth, margins, cash flow)
  • Signs of recovery in the last 10 sessions
  • Valuation sitting near historical lows

✅ Turned in: a screening spec.

Gate 2 · Rank the names that pass

More than one company clears the bar. Which one deserves a closer look?

With the criteria set, the API pulled price, valuation, and financials for each name and scored them all on the same basis — eight core candidates.

How deep the drawdown runs. How far current PE sits from the 10-year median. Whether institutions are adding or trimming. All on one screen.

✅ Turned in: a scorecard for eight names.

RankTickerBusinessFrom 52W HighPE (Current)PE (5Y Median)Score
1ACNIT consulting-38%14.527.38.2
2ORCLEnterprise cloud / databases-57%24.331.58.1
3NOWEnterprise ITSM-36%72.81398
4ADBECreative software-29%14.637.97.9
5CRMCRM / AI agents-28%19.171.67.7
6SAPERP / cloud-30%25.433.47.3
7QCOMMobile / AI chips-35%18.517.26.9
8SNPSEDA-34%100.658.86.9

From @不奋东西's original post

Gate 3 · Which of the eight are worth holding

The three financial statements. Valuation percentile. Revenue mix. Major-shareholder position changes. Latest news. All lined up, name by name.

Eight narrow to two — one offensive, one defensive.

✅ Turned in: two names, one of each.


ACN (Accenture) — deep-dive summary

Financials

  • FY2025 revenue $69.7B (+7.4%), operating margin 15.6%, net income $7.7B
  • Operating cash flow $11.5B (+26%), free cash flow $10.9B, FCF margin 15.6%
  • $11.5B cash, net cash position

Valuation

  • PE 14.5 — a 10-year low, just 53% of the median
  • PS 1.5 — 10-year low
  • PB 3.5 — 10-year low

Institutional flows — Vanguard added 40M shares; BlackRock, Morgan Stanley, and JPMorgan also added.

Catalysts — large financial-sector AI transformation deals like UniCredit; surging demand for AI consulting.

Risks — AI automating entry-level consulting work is a structural threat; $22.5B of goodwill is 35% of total assets.


From @不奋东西's original post

Gate 4 · Choosing the options structure

Expiry month — pay a bit more premium to buy another month of margin for error. Worth it or not?

Strike — at-the-money or slightly in-the-money. How much is intrinsic value. How well it holds up against time decay.

These normally live in separate places. This time they sit side by side on one screen.

ORCL (Oracle)ACN (Accenture)
Recovery upside133% (largest in the field)62% (largest in the second tier)
Core thesisAI data-center CapEx boomPE 14.5 (10-year low) + a 3.8% dividend floor
Return leverage+318% on a 75% recovery+231% on a 75% recovery
ConfidenceMedium (CapEx risk)Highest (valuation and cash flow both cover it)
RoleThe offensive spearThe defensive shield

From @不奋东西's original post

Gate 5 · Afraid to chase, afraid to miss — how to pace it

"Buy now and risk the top, wait and risk missing it." He handed that contradiction to the AI as-is.

The answer came back as tranches — build part of the position now, add the rest on a pullback.

If it runs, the first tranche is already working. If it dips, the rest gets filled cheaper.


✅ Turned in: a two-tranche schedule.

Total budget $50,000, split in two:

Tranche 1 — buy now ($16,500, 33%)

  • ORCL: ~340 contracts × $29.4 = ~$10,000
  • ACN: ~200 contracts × $32.2 = ~$6,400
  • ✅ Solves the fear of missing out — if the price never looks back, a third of the position is already in the money.

Tranche 2 — buy an 8–12% August pullback ($33,500, 67%)

  • Assume ORCL pulls back to ~$132 (-10%), ACN to ~$158 (-10%)
  • ORCL: ~870 contracts × ~$25 (cheaper premium) = ~$21,750
  • ACN: ~530 contracts × ~$24 (cheaper premium) = ~$12,700
  • ✅ Cheaper premium = more contracts = bigger return multiple
  • ⚠️ A deeper pullback (-15%) makes tranche 2 pay off even harder
  • ⚠️ If the pullback never comes, the 33% already on is your hedge against missing out

Total: ~1,210 ORCL + ~730 ACN contracts, roughly $50,850 deployed.


From @不奋东西's original post

Gate 6 · What if it goes the other way

The last gate is about the exit.

Sideways, recovery after a dip, straight up — what each roughly means for the position, with the matching risks written out one by one.

✅ Turned in: a contingency plan.

ScenarioORCL targetACN targetPortfolio valueReturn
Flat (no move)$147$176~$16,500-67%
50% recovery$244$231~$173,0002.47
75% recovery$293$258~$252,0004.05
Straight +30% (no pullback)$191$228~$108,0001.16

From @不奋东西's original post

The final call was still his

Cross-checking — he didn't take key conclusions from a single output. He verified them separately first.

Narrowing — the AI produced candidates. He made the pick.

Pacing and profit-taking — tranches and preset exit levels, set on his own judgment.

You can hand the analysis to a tool. The decision stays with you.

Show us your thinking

There are plenty of tools for turning an idea into something real now — LongbridgeAI, API, CLI, Skills, Agent platforms.

If you've run something similar, tag @LongbridgeAI and submit it. The next community piece could be yours.

*Quoted content used with the author's permission. Not investment advice. Options are high-risk derivatives — trade carefully. Longbridge reserves the right of final interpretation.

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