--- title: "Community AI Notes | Give it a direction, and AI works through the full reasoning — from stock screening to strike price" type: "Topics" locale: "en" url: "https://longbridge.com/en/topics/43326216.md" description: "Earnings, valuation percentile, institutional holdings shifts, news catalysts — the AI lines them all up in a single view, narrows eight candidates down to two (one offensive, one defensive), and then goes one layer deeper: which contract, and how to pace each tranche." datetime: "2026-08-11T10:15:52.000Z" locales: - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/topics/43326216.md) - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/topics/43326216.md) - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/topics/43326216.md) author: "[LongbridgeAI](https://longbridge.com/en/profiles/10010333.md)" generator: "portal-rs" --- # Community AI Notes | Give it a direction, and AI works through the full reasoning — from stock screening to strike price > Selecting stocks, comparing valuations, coordinating contracts, and pacing the rh > > ythm — Bridge friends set one challenge after another to see how many levels the AI can pass. After obtaining Pro privileges, Bridge friend **不奋东西** walked this path — He provided the direction, and LongbridgeAI took over step by step, handling everything from screening to options contracts and scenario simulations. **The starting point is a directional sentence; the destination is a well-paced plan.** ## Gate 1 · Turn a direction into screenable criteria His starting idea is one a lot of people have: > Find beaten-down legacy names where the fundamentals are still intact and the price has started to turn. LongbridgeAI turned that into **four quantifiable filters**: - Drawdown from the 52-week high of 25% or more - Solid fundamentals (revenue growth, margins, cash flow) - Signs of recovery in the last 10 sessions - Valuation sitting near historical lows **✅ Turned in: a screening spec.** ## Gate 2 · Rank the names that pass > More than one company clears the bar. Which one deserves a closer look? With the criteria set, the API pulled price, valuation, and financials for each name and scored them all on the same basis — **eight core candidates**. How deep the drawdown runs. How far current PE sits from the 10-year median. Whether institutions are adding or trimming. All on one screen. ✅ **Turned in: a scorecard for eight names.** | Rank | Ticker | Business | From 52W High | PE (Current) | PE (5Y Median) | Score | | ---- | -------- | ---------------------------- | ------------- | ------------ | -------------- | ------- | | 1 | **ACN** | IT consulting | -38% | 14.5 | 27.3 | **8.2** | | 2 | **ORCL** | Enterprise cloud / databases | -57% | 24.3 | 31.5 | **8.1** | | 3 | **NOW** | Enterprise ITSM | -36% | 72.8 | 139 | **8** | | 4 | **ADBE** | Creative software | -29% | 14.6 | 37.9 | **7.9** | | 5 | **CRM** | CRM / AI agents | -28% | 19.1 | 71.6 | **7.7** | | 6 | **SAP** | ERP / cloud | -30% | 25.4 | 33.4 | **7.3** | | 7 | **QCOM** | Mobile / AI chips | -35% | 18.5 | 17.2 | **6.9** | | 8 | **SNPS** | EDA | -34% | 100.6 | 58.8 | **6.9** | From @不奋东西's original post ## Gate 3 · Which of the eight are worth holding The three financial statements. Valuation percentile. Revenue mix. Major-shareholder position changes. Latest news. All lined up, name by name. Eight narrow to two — one offensive, one defensive. ✅ **Turned in: two names, one of each.** * * * ### ACN (Accenture) — deep-dive summary **Financials** - FY2025 revenue $69.7B (+7.4%), operating margin 15.6%, net income $7.7B - Operating cash flow $11.5B (+26%), free cash flow $10.9B, FCF margin 15.6% - $11.5B cash, net cash position **Valuation** - PE 14.5 — a 10-year low, just 53% of the median - PS 1.5 — 10-year low - PB 3.5 — 10-year low **Institutional flows** — Vanguard added 40M shares; BlackRock, Morgan Stanley, and JPMorgan also added. **Catalysts** — large financial-sector AI transformation deals like UniCredit; surging demand for AI consulting. **Risks** — AI automating entry-level consulting work is a structural threat; $22.5B of goodwill is 35% of total assets. * * * From @不奋东西's original post ## ## Gate 4 · Choosing the options structure **Expiry month** — pay a bit more premium to buy another month of margin for error. Worth it or not? **Strike** — at-the-money or slightly in-the-money. How much is intrinsic value. How well it holds up against time decay. These normally live in separate places. This time they sit side by side on one screen. | | **ORCL (Oracle)** | **ACN (Accenture)** | | ------------------- | ------------------------------- | --------------------------------------------------- | | **Recovery upside** | **133%** (largest in the field) | 62% (largest in the second tier) | | **Core thesis** | AI data-center CapEx boom | PE 14.5 (10-year low) + a 3.8% dividend floor | | **Return leverage** | +318% on a 75% recovery | +231% on a 75% recovery | | **Confidence** | Medium (CapEx risk) | **Highest** (valuation and cash flow both cover it) | | **Role** | **The offensive spear** | The defensive shield | From @不奋东西's original post ## Gate 5 · Afraid to chase, afraid to miss — how to pace it "Buy now and risk the top, wait and risk missing it." He handed that contradiction to the AI as-is. The answer came back as tranches — build part of the position now, add the rest on a pullback. If it runs, the first tranche is already working. If it dips, the rest gets filled cheaper. * * * ✅ **Turned in: a two-tranche schedule.** Total budget $50,000, split in two: **Tranche 1 — buy now ($16,500, 33%)** - ORCL: ~340 contracts × $29.4 = ~$10,000 - ACN: ~200 contracts × $32.2 = ~$6,400 - ✅ Solves the fear of missing out — if the price never looks back, a third of the position is already in the money. **Tranche 2 — buy an 8–12% August pullback ($33,500, 67%)** - Assume ORCL pulls back to ~$132 (-10%), ACN to ~$158 (-10%) - ORCL: ~870 contracts × ~$25 (cheaper premium) = ~$21,750 - ACN: ~530 contracts × ~$24 (cheaper premium) = ~$12,700 - ✅ Cheaper premium = more contracts = bigger return multiple - ⚠️ A deeper pullback (-15%) makes tranche 2 pay off even harder - ⚠️ If the pullback never comes, the 33% already on is your hedge against missing out Total: ~1,210 ORCL + ~730 ACN contracts, roughly $50,850 deployed. * * * From @不奋东西's original post ## Gate 6 · What if it goes the other way The last gate is about the exit. Sideways, recovery after a dip, straight up — what each roughly means for the position, with the matching risks written out one by one. **✅ Turned in: a contingency plan.** | Scenario | ORCL target | ACN target | Portfolio value | Return | | ------------------------------- | ----------- | ---------- | --------------- | -------- | | **Flat** (no move) | $147 | $176 | \~$16,500 | **-67%** | | **50% recovery** | $244 | $231 | \~$173,000 | 2.47 | | **75% recovery** | $293 | $258 | \~$252,000 | 4.05 | | **Straight +30%** (no pullback) | $191 | $228 | \~$108,000 | 1.16 | From @不奋东西's original post ## The final call was still his **Cross-checking** — he didn't take key conclusions from a single output. He verified them separately first. **Narrowing** — the AI produced candidates. He made the pick. **Pacing and profit-taking** — tranches and preset exit levels, set on his own judgment. You can hand the analysis to a tool. The decision stays with you. ## Show us your thinking There are plenty of tools for turning an idea into something real now — LongbridgeAI, API, CLI, Skills, Agent platforms. If you've run something similar, tag @LongbridgeAI and submit it. The next community piece could be yours. *\*Quoted content used with the author's permission. Not investment advice. Options are high-risk derivatives — trade carefully. Longbridge reserves the right of final interpretation.* ### Related Stocks - [ORCL.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/ORCL.US.md) - [ORCL-D.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/ORCL-D.US.md) - [ACN.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/ACN.US.md) - [JPM.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/JPM.US.md) - [JPM-C.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/JPM-C.US.md) - [JPM-D.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/JPM-D.US.md) - [JPM-J.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/JPM-J.US.md) - [JPM-K.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/JPM-K.US.md) - [JPM-L.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/JPM-L.US.md) - [JPM-M.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/JPM-M.US.md) --- > **Disclaimer: This article is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice.**