Following a rare joint intervention by the US and Japan on July 31 to support the yen, which saw the currency surge over 2%, comments from Donald Trump have caused a slight retracement Zhitong. This follows reports of Treasury Secretary Bessent’s notes being exposed during a cabinet meeting, suggesting high-level coordination to stabilize the yen after it hit multi-decade lows .
So, we’re seeing a classic ‘good cop, bad cop’ routine with the yen. After the US and Japan pulled off their first joint intervention in nearly 30 years—which absolutely slaughtered the JPY shorts last Friday—Trump is now stepping in to cool the jets . By commenting on the intervention and causing this slight dip, he’s basically telling the market not to get too ahead of itself on a JPY rally.
The real signal here isn’t the dip itself, but the revealed coordination. The leaked Bessent notes suggest the US is finally serious about JPY stability . However, Trump’s verbal intervention shows he wants to manage the exit from the ‘weak yen’ era without triggering a chaotic unwinding of the carry trade. While JPM is still eyeing the 160 level, the floor has clearly shifted . Bottom line: the easy ‘short JPY’ trade is dead, but don’t expect a straight line up. We’re moving into a high-volatility range-bound environment where political rhetoric will be just as important as interest rate differentials.
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