President Trump stated that the U.S. participated in foreign exchange interventions last week to boost the Yen, framing the move as both a gesture of friendship to Japan and a profitable venture for Washington . He compared the arrangement to a currency swap with Argentina, claiming the U.S. realized a $25 billion profit from the action Zhitong.
So, Trump is basically admitting the U.S. Treasury is now operating like a macro hedge fund. By framing the Yen intervention as a ‘profitable friendship,’ he’s signaled that the era of the ‘strong dollar’ policy is officially dead, replaced by transactional FX diplomacy Zhitong. He’s literally bragging about a $25 billion gain, which tells us he views currency levels not as market outcomes, but as leverage for ‘America First’ interests Zhitong.
This is a massive regime shift. The Yen carry trade just became toxic because the ‘Trump Put’ on the Yen is now explicitly tied to U.S. economic gain. If the U.S. is willing to actively sell USD to ‘help’ allies for a fee, the upside for USD/JPY is capped by political whim rather than just interest rate differentials. Bottom line: I’d be fading USD strength against the Yen here. The market is likely underestimating how aggressive this administration will be in managing G10 crosses to extract concessions or booking trading profits.
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