Donald Trump has claimed that the U.S. is currently receiving millions of barrels of oil weekly from Venezuela Zhitong. He expanded these claims to include similar operations in Iran, asserting that the U.S. has ‘paid for the war’ by taking billions of dollars in value and now controls roughly 60% of global oil and gas resources when combining U.S. and Venezuelan reserves .
So Trump is leaning hard into the ‘take the oil’ playbook again, and we need to separate the hyperbole from the strategic signal. While the claim that U.S. gasoline reserves will last 1000 years is pure campaign trail fiction , the underlying message is clear: the administration is moving from passive sanctions to active extraction and control of ‘adversary’ barrels. By claiming control over Venezuelan and Iranian flows , he’s effectively signaling a direct challenge to OPEC+’s ability to manage global supply. If the U.S. is indeed facilitating the movement of millions of barrels—even if the ‘millions’ is an exaggeration—it puts structural downward pressure on Brent and WTI. The real play here isn’t just the volume; it’s the shift in the geopolitical risk premium. He’s telling the market that the U.S. is no longer just a producer, but a global ‘enforcer’ of supply. Watch the U.S. Gulf Coast refiners; they are the biggest winners if heavy Venezuelan crude starts flowing consistently again . Bottom line: expect higher volatility as the market tries to price in this ‘shadow’ supply.
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