
How Margin Pressure Amid Acquisition Spree At Arthur J. Gallagher (AJG) Has Changed Its Investment Story

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Wells Fargo analyst Elyse Greenspan reduced her outlook for Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. due to expected Q4 2025 margin pressure, while maintaining a positive stock rating. Despite margin concerns, Gallagher's acquisition-driven growth continues, with recent deals like First Actuarial and Tompkins Insurance Agencies. The company's narrative projects $19.5 billion revenue and $3.5 billion earnings by 2028, requiring 19% yearly revenue growth. Fair value estimates vary widely, influenced by margin pressure and competitive pricing.
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