Citi joins UBS in setting year-end target at 7,700
Mirrors Wall Street view of resilient AI theme
Brokerage estimates SPX 2026 year-end EPS at $320
Dec 15 (Reuters) - Citigroup has set a year-end target of 7,700 for the S&amp;P 500 (.SPX) index for 2026, pointing to robust corporate earnings and sustained tailwinds from artificial intelligence investments.
The brokerage said in a note on Friday that it expects AI infrastructure build-out to be a key theme in 2026, echoing Wall Street peers, but predicts the focus will shift from companies that enable AI to those that adopt the nascent technology.
“While the AI emphasis is expected to be persistent, the evolution will likely follow a perceived winner versus loser dynamic,” strategists at Citi said.
Citi’s target implies a 12.7% gain from the benchmark’s last close of 6827.41 points. The brokerage estimates earnings per share for the index to reach $320 by the end of next year, higher than consensus estimates of about $310.
The widely-tracked index has gained about 16% this year, spurred broadly by investor optimism around AI, robust corporate profits and expectations of falling interest rates, despite fears of a market bubble and high technology valuations.
“To be clear, a high valuation starting point is a hurdle for the market, but not an insurmountable one. Rather, it puts increasing pressure on fundamentals to support the price action,” Citi said.
As the current bull market enters its fourth year, bouts of volatility should be expected and may be more acute given implicit growth expectations, the brokerage added.
Citi expects the index to hit 8,300 in a bull-case scenario, and drop to 5,700 in the bear case.
The brokerage’s year-end index target compares with Oppenheimer Asset Management’s Street-high forecast of 8,100 and a Reuters poll in November that forecast the index would rise about 12% by the end of next year.
In November, UBS Global Wealth Management had also forecast a year-end target of 7,700 for the index.

Citi forecasts the S&P 500 to reach 7,700 by 2026, driven by AI investments and robust corporate earnings. The brokerage predicts a shift in focus from AI enablers to adopters, with EPS estimated at $320. Despite high valuations, Citi sees potential for growth, expecting volatility as the bull market continues. The target aligns with UBS's forecast, while Oppenheimer predicts 8,100.

Citi sets 2026 S&P 500 target at 7,700, expects AI to remain key theme