<div id="readability-page-1">Money Markets Can Tesla Stock Plummet 30%?  ByTrefis Team ,  Contributor.  Forbes contributors publish independent expert analyses and insights. Building a platform to do the job of 1 million analysts for  Great Speculations Follow Author Dec 16, 2025, 08:28am EST Tesla (TSLA) shares have risen by 18% in the last month and are presently priced at $475. While Tesla’s core automotive business is facing headwinds, amid mounting competition and a broader slowdown in EV demand, investors appear optimistic about the company’s AI related developments. The company recently provided an update on its Robotaxi program, noting that roughly six months after launching a limited service in Austin, Texas that relied on human safety drivers, it has begun testing vehicles without safety drivers on board, a step that underscores progress toward autonomy.  VAIL, CO - JUNE 9, 2017: The Tesla brand logo embellishes the nose of a Tesla electric sedan in Vail, Colorado. (Photo by Robert Alexander/Getty Images) Getty Images That being said, our comprehensive analysis indicates that it might be the right moment to sell TSLA shares. Overall, we maintain a pessimistic outlook on the stock, and a target price of $330 seems feasible. We find that there strong TSLA stock considering its general Moderate operational performance and financial status. However, given its Very High valuation, we consider the stock to be Unattractive.  Here is our evaluation:  Summary Trefis Smart investing isn’t merely about choosing stocks or making predictions; it’s about asset allocation . Discover how Trefis’ Boston-based wealth management partner approaches it. They have incorporated the High Quality Portfolio within their asset allocation strategy.  Let’s delve into the details of each of the assessed factors. But first, for a quick background: With $1.5 Tril in market capitalization, Tesla offers electric vehicles and regulatory credits in the automotive industry and designs, manufactures, installs, sells, and leases energy generation and storage solutions.  MORE FOR YOU [1] Valuation Looks Very High  Valuation Tesla This table illustrates the valuation of TSLA compared to the broader market. For more information see: TSLA Valuation Ratios  [2] Growth Is Inconsistent  Tesla has experienced an average top-line growth rate of 9.3% over the past 3 years  Its revenues decreased by -1.6% from $97 Bil to $96 Bil in the last 12 months  Furthermore, its quarterly revenues increased by 11.6% to $28 Bil in the most recent quarter from $25 Bil a year earlier.  Growth Trefis This table shows how TSLA is expanding compared to the broader market. For further information see: TSLA Revenue Comparison  [3] Profitability Appears Weak  TSLA's operating income over the last 12 months was $4.9 Bil, corresponding to an operating margin of 5.1%  With a cash flow margin of 16.5%, it produced approximately $16 Bil in operating cash flow during this period  During the same timeframe, TSLA achieved nearly $5.1 Bil in net income, indicating a net margin of around 5.3%  [4] Financial Stability Looks Very Strong  At the end of the latest quarter, TSLA's Debt stood at $14 Bil, while its current Market Cap is $1.5 Tril. This results in a Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 1.0%  TSLA’s Cash (including cash equivalents) accounts for $42 Bil of $134 Bil in total Assets. This leads to a Cash-to-Assets Ratio of 31.1%  Financials Trefis [5] Downturn Resilience Is Weak  TSLA has underperformed compared to the S&amp;P 500 index during different economic downturns. We evaluate this based on (a) how much the stock declined and, (b) how rapidly it rebounded.  2022 Inflation Shock  TSLA shares dropped 73.6% from a peak of $409.97 on November 4, 2021, to $108.10 on January 3, 2023, in contrast to a peak-to-trough drop of 25.4% for the S&amp;P 500.  Nonetheless, the stock completely recovered to its pre-crisis high by December 11, 2024  Sine then, the stock surged to a high of $479.86 on December 17, 2024, and is currently trading at $475.31  2020 Covid Pandemic  TSLA stock fell by 60.6% from a peak of $61.16 on February 19, 2020, to $24.08 on March 18, 2020, compared to a peak-to-trough decline of 33.9% for the S&amp;P 500.  The stock fully recovered to its pre-crisis high by June 8, 2020  Nevertheless, the risks are not restricted to significant market declines. Stocks can drop even in favorable market conditions—consider events such as earnings announcements, business updates, and outlook alterations. To understand how the stock has bounced back from sudden drops in the past, read TSLA Dip Buyer Analyses .  The Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio , which includes a selection of 30 stocks, has consistently achieved superior performance compared to its benchmark, encompassing the S&amp;P 500, S&amp;P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices. What accounts for this? As a collective, HQ Portfolio stocks have delivered better returns while taking on lower risk than the benchmark index; presenting a more stable investment experience, as observed in HQ Portfolio performance metrics .  Editorial Standards Reprints &amp; Permissions LOADING VIDEO PLAYER... FORBES’ FEATURED Video</div>

TSLA

TSDD

TSLL

TSLQ

09366

07766

07366

TSLR

<p>Tesla's stock has risen 18% in the last month, priced at $475. Despite optimism around AI developments, Trefis suggests selling TSLA shares, targeting a price of $330 due to high valuation and inconsistent growth. Tesla's financial stability is strong, but profitability is weak, and downturn resilience is poor. The analysis highlights Tesla's market performance compared to broader indices and suggests the stock is unattractive due to its valuation.</p>

- Tesla shares recently rose by 18% to $475, although the company faces challenges in the automotive sector and heightened competition.  
- A comprehensive analysis suggests it may be prudent to sell TSLA shares, predicting a target price of $330 due to its very high valuation despite moderate operational performance.  
- Historical data reveals Tesla's stock has underperformed compared to the S&P 500 during downturns, indicating potential risks even in favorable market conditions.