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Powell says risks to economy suggest rates could go lower or higher

MarketWatch
Mar 30, 2026 at 02:56 PM
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Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell indicated that the U.S. economy faces risks that could lead to either lower or higher interest rates. In a speech at Harvard, he emphasized the Fed's commitment to reducing inflation to 2%, which has remained above that level since 2021. Powell noted that while there are downside risks to the labor market suggesting lower rates, there are also upside risks to inflation. The Fed's recent projections include a potential rate cut in 2026, but no immediate decisions are expected due to uncertainties, including the economic impact of the Iran war.

By Greg Robb

Fed is committed to getting inflation back to 2%, Fed chair says

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell and his colleagues have penciled in one rate cut for 2026

The risks to the U.S. economy suggest that interest rates may need to be lower or higher, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said Monday.

In a talk at Harvard University, Powell said that there's "sort of downside risk to the labor market, which suggests keep rate low - but there's upside risks to inflation, which suggests maybe don't keep rates low."

Powell said the Fed is committed to getting inflation back to 2%. The Fed's favored measure of inflation has been above 2% since 2021.

Powell said the Fed isn't facing an imminent decision on what to do with rates because "we don't know what the economic effects" of the Iran war will be.

At its meeting in mid-March, the Fed's dot plot pointed to one rate cut this year. The Fed's statement also pointed to the next move being a cut.

A minority of officials pressed for the statement to say that rates could go up or down.

-Greg Robb

This content was created by MarketWatch, which is operated by Dow Jones & Co. MarketWatch is published independently from Dow Jones Newswires and The Wall Street Journal.

(END) Dow Jones Newswires

03-30-26 1056ET

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