---
title: "Polymarket Odds: Will TSLA, GOOGL, IBM Beat Earnings Tomorrow?"
type: "News"
locale: "en"
url: "https://longbridge.com/en/news/293373016.md"
description: "Polymarket odds indicate high expectations for Tesla (77%) and Alphabet (97%) to beat earnings estimates on July 22, while IBM has only a 7% chance. These prediction platform probabilities reflect trader sentiment regarding the after-hours reports for TSLA, GOOGL, and IBM."
datetime: "2026-07-21T17:49:10.000Z"
locales:
  - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/293373016.md)
  - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/293373016.md)
  - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/293373016.md)
---

# Polymarket Odds: Will TSLA, GOOGL, IBM Beat Earnings Tomorrow?

On Wednesday, July 22, Tesla (TSLA), Alphabet (GOOGL), and IBM (IBM) will report their earnings. All three companies will report after the closing bell. Traders are already weighing in with their expectations on **Polymarket**.

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## **Wall Street's Earnings Estimates**

-   Tesla is expected to report an adjusted EPS of 50 cents.
-   Alphabet is expected to report a GAAP EPS of $2.89.
-   IBM is expected to report an adjusted EPS of $3.02.

## **What is Polymarket?**

Polymarket is a prediction platform where traders bet on the outcomes of real-world events, including earnings reports, elections, and economic indicators. Polymarket odds reflect expectations and can provide insight into investor sentiment.

## **Will Tesla Beat Earnings?**

Tesla has beaten or met earnings estimates during 11 of the past 18 quarters for a success rate of 61.11%. Polymarket gives the electric vehicle leader a 77% chance of beating its estimated adjusted EPS of 50 cents.

## **Will Alphabet Beat Earnings?**

Alphabet has beaten or met earnings estimates during 14 of the past 18 quarters for a success rate of 77.78%. Polymarket gives the multinational tech giant a 97% chance of beating its estimated GAAP EPS of $2.89.

## **Will IBM Beat Earnings?**

IBM has beaten or met earnings estimates during 17 of the past 18 quarters for a success rate of 94.44%. Polymarket gives the global tech company a 7% chance of beating its estimated adjusted EPS of $3.02.

Disclosure: Polymarket odds reflect expectations, not guaranteed outcomes. The odds represent the views and expectations of traders, but actual earnings results can differ significantly from these predictions. Investors should treat Polymarket data as just one tool when evaluating their investment decisions.

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