--- title: "BTC 82,000 hit the bottom, the rebound key depends on the Federal Reserve" type: "News" locale: "en" url: "https://longbridge.com/en/news/293708627.md" description: "Grayscale assesses that Bitcoin bottomed out at $82,000, with spot ETFs continuously accumulating providing support. Macroeconomically, the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy has become a key variable: if interest rates are cut or quantitative easing is implemented, it will drive funds into the cryptocurrency market; if a hawkish stance is maintained, prices may consolidate. Institutions and long-term funds are working together to offset short-term selling pressure, enhancing market resilience" datetime: "2026-07-24T06:03:14.000Z" locales: - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/293708627.md) - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/293708627.md) - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/293708627.md) --- # BTC 82,000 hit the bottom, the rebound key depends on the Federal Reserve According to Woofun AI, digital asset management company Grayscale's latest assessment suggests that the downward trend of Bitcoin may have ended, with prices forming solid support at $82,000. This judgment is based on significant changes in the market microstructure, marking the conclusion of the adjustment phase that saw a 22% decline from the historical high (ATH). The core logic is that the selling pressure in the spot market has substantially weakened, and the involvement of institutional buyers has effectively curbed further price declines, providing a key anchor for market stabilization. From the microstructure of capital flows, the U.S. Bitcoin spot ETF has shown a continuous accumulation trend, becoming an important force in stabilizing market sentiment. Notably, despite the occurrence of liquidations in the derivatives market during this period, there has still been a continuous inflow of funds into related products. Data compiled by Woofun AI indicates that this counter-trend inflow suggests that long-term investors are still actively positioning themselves, providing deep support for the market. The synergy between institutions and long-term capital has offset short-term speculative selling pressure, allowing Bitcoin to demonstrate strong resilience at critical price levels. On a macro level, the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy will become the core variable determining liquidity in the cryptocurrency market. If the Federal Reserve initiates quantitative easing (QE) or implements a benchmark interest rate cut, the reduction in capital costs will directly drive capital towards higher-risk, more volatile assets, including cryptocurrencies. Conversely, if inflation indicators remain persistently high, forcing monetary authorities to maintain a hawkish stance and delay interest rate cuts, cryptocurrency prices may fall into a consolidation phase, fluctuating only within a limited price range. Therefore, whether the macro monetary environment is loose directly determines whether Bitcoin can break through the current resistance level. Technical analysis and on-chain data further corroborate the market's stability. The implied volatility of Bitcoin options has significantly decreased after prices rebounded from local lows, indicating a decline in market panic. Meanwhile, on-chain data shows that network hash rate remains stable, significantly reducing the risk of large-scale bankruptcies among mining companies. In the short term, market movements will closely track the decisions of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) and U.S. quarterly employment data. 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