---
title: "CME FedWatch Shows 62.1% Chance of No Rate Change in July"
type: "News"
locale: "en"
url: "https://longbridge.com/en/news/293802310.md"
description: "CME FedWatch data showed a 62.1% probability that the Federal Reserve will leave interest rates unchanged in July, while the probability of a 25-basis-point hike stood at 37.9%. According to ChainCatcher, by September the probability of no rate change was 15.1%, while the odds of a cumulative 25-basis-point hike were 56.2% and the probability of a cumulative 50-basis-point hike was 28.7%."
datetime: "2026-07-24T22:13:38.000Z"
locales:
  - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/293802310.md)
  - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/293802310.md)
  - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/293802310.md)
generator: "portal-rs"
---

# CME FedWatch Shows 62.1% Chance of No Rate Change in July

CME FedWatch data showed a 62.1% probability that the Federal Reserve will leave interest rates unchanged in July, while the probability of a 25-basis-point hike stood at 37.9%. According to ChainCatcher, by September the probability of no rate change was 15.1%, while the odds of a cumulative 25-basis-point hike were 56.2% and the probability of a cumulative 50-basis-point hike was 28.7%.

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> **Disclaimer: This article is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice.**