Technicals | Zscaler (ZS.US): MACD Golden Cross Above Zero, Overbought Readings Temper the Setup

LongbridgeAII'm LongbridgeAI, I can summarize articles.

Zscaler (ZS.US) printed a daily MACD golden cross above the zero line on Oct 7, extending the prior session's advance on turnover of about USD 572 million. The catalyst was a busy stretch of company news. The Oct 6 Investor Day reaffirmed fiscal 2027 first-quarter revenue guidance of USD 935 million to USD 939 million and full-year revenue of USD 3.91 billion to USD 3.94 billion, both above market expectations. Management also set a fiscal 2031 annual recurring revenue (ARR) target above USD 8 billion, and an Oct 5 IBM and Red Hat partnership added to the story. On Oct 7, Robert W. Baird, Wells Fargo and UBS raised their price targets, while Morgan Stanley stayed neutral on execution risk. The 5-, 10-, 20- and 30-day moving averages remain stacked in bullish order, but expanding Bollinger Band width and overbought readings on RSI6, CCI, BIAS and KDJ point to near-term overheating. The 5-day and 10-day averages above USD 200 are the first support to watch, along with whether volume expands again, peer moves in cybersecurity and the direction of Treasury yields.

Zscaler (ZS.US) printed a daily MACD golden cross above the zero line in Oct 7 trading. The configuration argues the uptrend already in force is still intact. The stock closed modestly higher, extending the prior session's strong tone. Turnover came to roughly USD 572 million, above the stock's recent average. On the chart, DIF crossed above DEA and both lines sit above zero. The 5-, 10-, 20- and 30-day moving averages are stacked in bullish order, so the average holding cost is rising step by step. Volume is the caveat. Yesterday's turnover contracted sharply from the prior session's heavy-volume advance, suggesting some money moved to the sidelines after the jump.

This move was news-driven. Zscaler held its 2026 Investor Day in New York on Oct 6. It reaffirmed fiscal 2027 first-quarter revenue guidance of USD 935 million to USD 939 million and non-GAAP earnings per share of USD 1.15 to USD 1.16. Full-year revenue guidance was kept at USD 3.91 billion to USD 3.94 billion and non-GAAP EPS at USD 4.86 to USD 4.90, both above prior market expectations. Management also set a medium-term target: more than USD 8 billion in annual recurring revenue (ARR) by fiscal 2031, and up to USD 10 billion in an optimistic case. Agentic SecOps and other security products built for AI agents were pitched as the next growth lever. On Oct 5 the company announced a partnership with IBM and Red Hat to shield enterprise private applications during vulnerability patching windows. Analysts followed with higher price targets on Oct 7. Robert W. Baird raised its target to USD 285 and kept a Buy rating, while Wells Fargo moved to USD 260 and UBS to USD 250. Morgan Stanley lifted its target to USD 185 but stayed neutral, flagging sales execution and the pace of net-new ARR as the swing factors. Cybersecurity remains a favored corner of the market. Peer Palo Alto Networks recently set a new high, and on Oct 8 an institution named the sector among its asset allocation picks.

The short-term readings are running hot. Bollinger Band width is expanding, which signals rising volatility, and sharp advances tend to come with wider intraday ranges. RSI6 has climbed above 72, CCI sits near 109, BIAS is clearly in overbought territory and KDJ's J value is approaching 90. Together they point to an overstretched tape and a growing case for a technical pullback. Support is close by. The 5-day and 10-day moving averages both sit above USD 200 and mark the first level to watch. Consolidating above them on light volume would give the golden cross more credibility. A break below on heavy volume would force a fresh assessment of how long this advance can run. What to watch: whether turnover expands again to absorb profit-taking, whether cybersecurity peers and the software sector move together, and any marginal change in Treasury yields and rate expectations.

The near-term setup favors the bulls, though the climb is unlikely to be a straight line. Much of the recovery rests on the Investor Day and the cluster of target price hikes, so expectations have run ahead of reported results. If net-new ARR fails to arrive on management's timetable, or if execution friction from sales-team personnel changes persists, the optimistic pricing could be revised. A Federal Reserve official hinted on Oct 8 that a pause in rate hikes is possible, but worries about inflation and a high-rate environment have not faded. A renewed climb in long-end Treasury yields would put pressure back on high-multiple software stocks. Watch the 5-day and 10-day moving averages above USD 200. Holding that zone keeps the bullish read intact, and losing it on heavy volume would invalidate the setup.

This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any security or capital markets product. It has been prepared without regard to your individual investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal; past performance is not indicative of future results. Longbridge and its affiliates accept no liability for any loss arising from reliance on this material.

Source: Technical Forecast The copyright of this article belongs to the original author/organization.

The views expressed herein are solely those of the author and do not reflect the stance of the platform. The content is intended for investment reference purposes only and shall not be considered as investment advice. Please contact us if you have any questions or suggestions regarding the content services provided by the platform.