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Sam Altman's OpenAI Or Dario Amodei's Anthropic, Who Will Make Their Public Debut First? Crypto Prediction Market Is Betting On This AI Giant

benzinga_article
Jun 8, 2026 at 05:26 AM
LongbridgeAII'm LongbridgeAI, I can summarize articles.

Anthropic has confidentially submitted an S-1 registration statement to the SEC for its IPO, taking the first step toward a public debut ahead of rival OpenAI. Crypto prediction market Kalshi reflects this lead, assigning Anthropic a 76% probability of going public first compared to OpenAI's 29%. Meanwhile, OpenAI is preparing strategic transformations for ChatGPT and plans to offer early access to new AI models for the U.S. government.

Anthropic last week announced that it has taken the first steps to make its public debut, beating Sam Altman-led OpenAI, which is gearing up for its own public debut.

Anthropic revealed that it has confidentially submitted a draft registration statement on Form S-1 to the SEC for a proposed initial public offering.

Who Will Make Their Public Debut First?

With Anthropic making the first move, people are now looking towards OpenAI to see what the company does and whether it is able to make its public debut first.

Here's What Prediction Market Is Saying

Data from Kalshi, a federally authorized betting platform, shows that over $230,000 has been bet on the contract "Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?"

Anthropic is winning overwhelmingly, with bettors placing 76% probability on the company making its public debut first.

Bettors have placed a 29% probability on OpenAI making its public debut first.

Read Also: Anthropic Will Make Its Public Debut In June Or July? Crypto Prediction Market Bettors Pick This Month Instead

OpenAI's Next Big Bet

OpenAI is reportedly preparing for a significant transformation of its ChatGPT platform.

OpenAI aims to evolve the chatbot into a "superapp" by integrating coding tools and AI agents.

OpenAI's strategy involves enhancing its coding product, Codex, reflecting a belief that AI's future lies in task-performing agents rather than traditional chatbots, according to the report. Codex, which has grown to over five million weekly active users, is expected to play a crucial role in this transformation.

The overhaul will introduce changes to ChatGPT's website and apps, steering users towards coding, image-generation, and partner apps. OpenAI anticipates that AI agents will become more valuable than chatbots, performing tasks like booking travel and organizing schedules.

OpenAI also plans to give the U.S. government early access to new AI models under a voluntary framework initiated by President Donald Trump.

Disclaimer: This content was partially produced with the help of AI tools and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.

Read Also: OpenAI's Next Big Bet Before IPO? ChatGPT May Never Look Same Again

Photo Courtesy: Meir Chaimowitz on Shutterstock.com

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