--- type: "Topics" locale: "en" url: "https://longbridge.com/en/topics/100000000653078.md" description: "People wonder why I'm focusing on non-US markets recently. Why? CPO is my #1 thematic long. Markets don't know yet, the sudden paradigm shift in photonics...I was one of the only to frontrun the current supercycle in 2025 w/ $Applied Optoelectronics(AAOI.US) @ ~$30, $Lumentum(LITE.US) ~$300s, and $AXT(AXTI.US) at ~$13 on X.... With the actual receipts and thesis that others can't show. CPO goes from ~$0. To $91 Billion TAM opportunity.In the next 1 1/2 years from GS research. While overall optical market reaches $154B. Many players that had little exposure to the current photonics cycle at all: -> In Europe with high-end lasers design like $SIVE or $SOI with substrates. -> In Taiwan with Foci (3363), Nextronics (8147), Shunsin (6451) and others for optical components and foundries. -> In Japan with laser mass production, substrates, and chemicals. Are suddenly the new dominant players for CPO. As for US players, there's not much exposure. But the existing ones like $Lumentum(LITE.US), $Coherent Corp.(COHR.US) still get upside from CPO as that's their new growth vector. My contrarian thought process on current players:Is that most of their valuation is priced in huge legacy pluggable revenue that will inevitably face cannibalization over time, so re-rating potential is less unless someone uses leverage. A lot of these new purer play CPO names go from 0 to 100 extremely quickly one mass production starts H2 2026 for scale out (as a revenue bridge) into H2 2027 for scale up (massive growth driver). Markets usually price things in 8-12 months ahead of time too... I have high conviction thematically in my supply chain research despite any market volatility leading up until then.Source: Serenity" datetime: "2026-05-13T04:17:21.000Z" locales: - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/topics/100000000653078.md) - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/topics/100000000653078.md) - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/topics/100000000653078.md) author: "[Serenity](https://longbridge.com/en/profiles/26792196.md)" generator: "portal-rs" --- # People wonder why I'm focusing on non-US markets r… ### Related Stocks - [LITE.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/LITE.US.md) - [AXTI.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/AXTI.US.md) - [AAOI.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/AAOI.US.md) - [COHR.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/COHR.US.md) - [03363.HK](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/03363.HK.md) - [08147.HK](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/08147.HK.md) --- > **Disclaimer: This article is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice.**