Serenity
2026.07.05 20:35

Came across an interesting report from SVRC Research called "State of Robotics 2026", published in April.

Which listed:

1. Figure AI

2. Agility Robotics $Churchill Capital XI(CCXI.US)

3. Apptronik

4. $Tesla(TSLA.US)

5. Boston Dynamics

6. Physical Intelligence

7. 1X Technologies

8. $Amazon(AMZN.US) Robotics

9. Covariant

10. Skild AI

As the National Champions of the United States robotics program.

"The United States leads the world in where robotics is heading: Fundation models, OpenAI-style scaling laws applied to action, autonomous vehicles.

While losing the race on where robotics is shipping today."

Then it frames:

1. Rare Earths Exposure: from Neodymium for motors to samarium-cobalt for high-temp applications as a critical vulnerability.

2. Actuator dependency. Series elastic actuators, quasi-direct-drive motors, and precision reducers overwhelmingly sourced from Japan, Germany, and China

As one of the main vulnerabilities alongside Manufacturing velocity/data collection cost/regulations. Then their take was:

"With at least six well-funded US humanoid companies competing for a market still in early formation, we expect at least two significant consolidation events (acquisition or merger) in 2027".

With Logistics / E-commerce (like $Amazon(AMZN.US) / $FedEx(FDX.US)) and Automotive from $General Motors(GM.US) to $Forward Industries(FORD.US) as being the immediate top use cases for deployment.

I think it's just interesting to see a lot of my points I've been talking about reiterated by research firms. Regardless, I do think it's going to be a major frontier race between the US and China.

Agility Robotics (which I own), Tesla, Figure, and Apptronik as leaders representing the USA. Competing against Unitree, AGIbot, Ubtech, and others in China.

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