Equity research
2026.07.26 04:04

BOCOM International: Zhongji Innolight

AI Infrastructure & Market Forecasts

> Role of Communication Networks: Zhongji Innolight is positioned to benefit as a leading global manufacturer of optical modules due to the rising importance of communication networks in AI infrastructure.

> Chip Market Forecast: The global AI communication network chip market size is forecasted at USD 107.5bn (2026E) and USD 154.9bn (2027E), driven by upstream giants NVIDIA and Broadcom.

Optical Modules in AI Data Centers

> GPU-to-Transceiver Ratio: Based on NVIDIA Blackwell Ultra NVL72 systems, 1 GPU corresponds to ~6.1 transceiver modules.

> Shipment Estimates: High-bandwidth (>=400G) optical module shipments in data centers are expected to reach 81.1m units (2026E) and 146.7m units (2027E).

1.6T Optical Modules: Expected to reach 28.4m units (2026E) and 76.3m units (2027E), serving as the primary driver for Zhongji Innolight's earnings growth.

Technology Position & Market Share

> Technology Timeline: CPO may scale up in 2H27 or later, while NPO could begin volume ramp in 2026 as the primary interface technology form.

> Global Ranking: According to Frost & Sullivan, Zhongji Innolight's data communication optical module market share was 23.1% in 2025, ranking first globally.

$Applied Optoelectronics(AAOI.US) $NVIDIA(NVDA.US) $Broadcom(AVGO.US) $Marvell Tech(MRVL.US)

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