--- title: "πŸš€ Earnings Season Challenge #3: SpaceX Reports Tuesday β€” Beat or Miss?" type: "Topics" locale: "en" url: "https://longbridge.com/en/topics/100000000829867.md" description: "$SpaceX(SPCX.US) posts its first-ever quarterly results as a listed company after the US close on Tuesday, 4 August. Two days later, on Thursday, 6 August, its IPO lock-up expires. For a stock that ha..." datetime: "2026-08-03T02:35:51.000Z" locales: - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/topics/100000000829867.md) - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/topics/100000000829867.md) - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/topics/100000000829867.md) author: "[Captain's Watch](https://longbridge.com/en/profiles/24747427.md)" generator: "portal-rs" --- # πŸš€ Earnings Season Challenge #3: SpaceX Reports Tuesday β€” Beat or Miss? $SpaceX(SPCX.US) posts its first-ever quarterly results as a listed company after the US close on **Tuesday, 4 August**. Two days later, on **Thursday, 6 August**, its IPO lock-up expires. For a stock that has already halved since June, that is an unusually loaded week. πŸ”₯πŸ”₯πŸ”₯ So we are running this week's Earnings Challenge differently. Instead of picking a winner from a basket, we are calling the number: **How will SPCX move on the first trading day after the results?** ### 🎁 Vote the Range, Name the Price β€” Up to 2,888 Task Coins! #### 1️⃣ Vote the range β€” 388 Task Coins You are calling $SpaceX(SPCX.US)'s % change on Wed, 5 Aug β€” the first full trading day after the results β€” measured from Tuesday's US close to Wednesday's US close. *Each range excludes its lower bound and includes its upper bound. Example: βˆ’4.0% falls in "Down 3% to 10%"; exactly βˆ’10.0% also falls in "Down 3% to 10%".* 🎁 Pick the correct range β†’ **388 Task Coins**. #### 2️⃣ Name your price β€” up to 2,888 Task Coins Drop your **predicted** $SpaceX(SPCX.US) **closing price on Wednesday, 5 August** in the comments, and tell us why. πŸ† **The three members closest to the actual close take the top rewards:** πŸ₯‡ Closest β€” **2,888 Task Coins** πŸ₯ˆ Second closest β€” **1,888 Task Coins** πŸ₯‰ Third closest β€” **888 Task Coins** 🎁 And because we would rather read your thinking than just your number: add **10 words or more** explaining your call and earn **288 Task Coins** β€” yours to keep whether or not the number lands. ⏰ **Entries close: Tuesday, 4 August, 23:59 SGT** β€” before SpaceX reports. The numbers land around 04:30 SGT on Wednesday. πŸ“Š **Settled on:** Wednesday 5 August's US closing price, as shown on Longbridge. ### πŸ“‰ Where SPCX Stands Today $SpaceX(SPCX.US) listed on the Nasdaq on **12 June 2026**, raising **US$85.7 billion** β€” the largest IPO on record. Four trading days later it peaked at **US$225.64**. It has been falling more or less ever since. πŸ“ Last close (Fri, 31 July): US$108.37, βˆ’3.41% on the day πŸ“ From the 16 June peak: about βˆ’52% Β· From the US$135 IPO price: about βˆ’20% πŸ“ Fifth consecutive weekly decline, with a 52-week low of US$107.01 set on 28 July πŸ“ Friday's intraday range: US$107.57–113.64 β€” a 5.4% swing in a single session, on US$6.4 billion of turnover Across 34 analysts tracked on Longbridge, the average 12-month target sits at **US$236.71**, roughly double the current price, with about 79% at Buy or Strong Buy and one Sell. Morgan Stanley is at US$300. Either the market is badly mispricing a monopoly-like launch and satellite broadband business, or the analysts are anchored to a valuation the fundamentals have not yet earned. Tuesday is the first time we get real numbers to argue with. ## πŸ’¬ One Last Thing $SpaceX(SPCX.US) has been the most-watched name in this community for weeks, and almost nobody agrees on it. Down 52% with the sell-side at double the price is not a normal setup β€” it is the kind of gap that closes hard in one direction or the other. You have until Tuesday night. Where do you think it lands? πŸ‘‡ ℹ️ Rules & Settlement Reference prices: official US closing prices for Tue 4 Aug and Wed 5 Aug, as shown on Longbridge. Ties on the price target are broken by the earlier comment timestamp. One vote and one comment per member. Your first comment is the one that counts, so take your time with it. Rewards are credited within 7 working days after settlement. Content must be original and relevant. Copied, duplicate, spam or directly AI-generated submissions may be disqualified. For community discussion only. Not investment advice. ### Related Stocks - [SPCX.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/SPCX.US.md) - [UXSD.SG](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/UXSD.SG.md) ## Comments (18) - **Tweety_Solomon Β· 2026-08-04T21:10:18.000Z**: My vote: roughly flat. My call:US$116Why: SpaceX will adjust to around US$116, close to bottom of the day's trading range after more investors realise it is not as profitable as it purported itself to be at the launch of IPO - **Tweety_Solomon Β· 2026-08-04T21:06:22.000Z**: My call:US$SpaceX(SPCX.US)$Amazon(AMZN.US)116Why: SpaceX will adjust to around US$116, close to bottom of the day's trading range after more investors realise it is not as profitable as it purported itself to be at the launch of IPO - **TheCollector Β· 2026-08-04T15:16:35.000Z**: My call: USD 97.99Why: Losses are already expected. Much will depend on guidances, which I would think is likely to miss expectations, given that market expectations are sky high. Additionally, more shares are being unlocked for open market. I'm expecting high volatility to downside. - **SLChai Β· 2026-08-04T15:12:51.000Z**: I predict it will closed growth above 10% - **melph Β· 2026-08-04T14:02:55.000Z**: US$105? Company is not profitable yet but people will still be investing in its potential - **Musher Β· 2026-08-04T13:59:52.000Z**: My predict is that it will close at US$122.8 It should go up after falling so much and because I have 20 dollars worth of it,hoping it will be more$SpaceX(SPCX.US) - **DvdLTW Β· 2026-08-04T13:57:51.000Z**: I predict $SpaceX(SPCX.US)closing price on 05 Aug will be $133.3. The earnings report will beat expectations and the price will rocket πŸš€ - **win win Β· 2026-08-04T13:55:56.000Z**: $98earnings Disappointed - **Heroic Lifesaver Β· 2026-08-04T08:34:51.000Z**: $100 is my guess. Its a psychological level and I think many are looking at that level to place their buys. - **dingdongbell Β· 2026-08-04T08:34:18.000Z**: I guess $100. It’s a nice number and many are probably waiting to buy there. - **hectic Β· 2026-08-04T03:32:12.000Z**: my predicted closing price is $103.83. i believe that earnings will not be able to show that it is a profitable company as of current and would need much more time to become profitable. also, i believe that the lock up period expiring will weigh down on sentiment even before those shares are eligibl - **Greedisgood99999999 Β· 2026-08-03T18:37:28.000Z**: Down below 100 due to massive spending, doubt it would beat expectations as the ceiling now is already so high for tech giants - **LazyCat Β· 2026-08-03T11:49:52.000Z Β· πŸ‘ 1**: my take is that it will be down between 3-10%. All the hype and no result to show except star link deserve to be punished. The pipe piper stock will be down to 99.99. - **koolgal Β· 2026-08-03T06:57:06.000Z Β· πŸ‘ 1**: 🌟🌟🌟My predicted closing price for $SpaceX(SPCX.US)on Wednesday 5 August 2026 is USD 99.50, placing it squarely in the "Down 3% to 10%" range. This prediction represents an approximate 8.2% drop from the last tracked price of USD 108.37.Why is the price headed downwards?1. Wall Street expect - **Victor y Β· 2026-08-03T05:54:38.000Z Β· πŸ‘ 1**: SpaceX - If revenue growth, margins, and guidance beat expectations, the market could start repricing the stock higherUS$115.50 ~ US$115.90 - **Vt3 Β· 2026-08-03T03:25:04.000Z Β· πŸ‘ 3**: πŸ“ŒMy take is SPCX is likely to close between 3% to 10% on Aug 5, as earnings per se volatility will still amplify its existing 45% downward trend and more shares unlocking pressure rolling in.However over a period of 12 months more, we will surely see its picking back level $200 Uptrend, otherwise th - **Shyon Β· 2026-08-03T03:23:01.000Z Β· πŸ‘ 4**: I predict SpaceX (SPCX) will close at US$130.60 on Wednesday after earnings.The stock has already fallen more than 50% from its peak, and I believe much of the pessimism is already reflected in the price. If SpaceX delivers solid revenue growth, healthy margins, and gives investors confidence in its - **Fattycat Β· 2026-08-03T03:19:15.000Z Β· πŸ‘ 3**: My prediction for SpaceX's closing price on 5 August is $118.8. No basis. A wild guess.🀭 --- > **Disclaimer: This article is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice.**