---
title: "年内 40 倍：X 上号称股神的 Serenity 在买什么？"
type: "Topics"
locale: "en"
url: "https://longbridge.com/en/topics/41206191.md"
description: "2 年 225 倍，年内 40 倍。23 只股票，0 只亏损。涨得最猛那只，84 倍。他叫 Serenity，X 上最近最火的美股喊单王，他的每一只持仓都在飞。"
datetime: "2026-05-28T10:36:03.000Z"
locales:
  - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/topics/41206191.md)
  - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/topics/41206191.md)
  - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/topics/41206191.md)
author: "[热点君](https://longbridge.com/en/profiles/1450684.md)"
---

# 年内 40 倍：X 上号称股神的 Serenity 在买什么？

> 2 年 225 倍，年内 40 倍。23 只股票，0 只亏损。涨得最猛那只，84 倍。

他叫 Serenity，X 上最近最火的美股喊单王，他的每一只持仓都在飞。

更有意思的是——他曾被 Reddit 散户论坛 WSB 永久封禁，转战 X 之后，却做出了 225 倍的战绩。

## 一、这个人是谁？

Serenity 是 X 上一个匿名账号，目前粉丝 43.8 万。 他自己挂的标签——前 RISC-V 基金会成员、AI 研究科学家、Nature 论文作者。还说自己在 2018 年拒绝过英伟达的 offer，那时英伟达股价才 6 美元。

他真正能被追溯的来历，是 2022 年初的 Reddit 散户论坛——当时账号叫 AleaBito。那时候他是个典型的散户老哥：

在 eToro IPO 上，靠 “图形像蓝鳍金枪鱼大腹” 的恶搞逻辑，YOLO 17.5 万美元期权

在 Hims & Hers 上，靠 “健身房猛男形态” 重仓 10 万美元

在超微电脑 SMCI 低位时，靠液冷技术叙事押到了 120 美元突破

听起来像段子，但他都赚到了。 后来他被 WSB 永久封禁，搬到 X，把研究重心彻底搬到 AI 产业链——从此开启暴走模式。 两年 225 倍。今年至今，40 倍。

## 二、他凭什么？Chokepoint Theory（瓶颈理论）

他把自己的方法叫 Chokepoint Theory——瓶颈理论。

> 不赌龙头，赌龙头离不开的那个零件供应商。

逻辑是这样： 英伟达再厉害，也要光模块；

光模块再火，也要激光器；

激光器再卷，也要化合物半导体衬底；

衬底再上游，还要功率半导体、还要老化测试设备。

越往产业链上游走，越没人看；越没人看的位置，越可能藏着真正卡脖子的小公司。 华尔街分析师覆盖不到这些标的，机构资金进不来，价格就停在 “没人发现” 的位置。Serenity 做的事情，就是赶在第一份券商研报出来之前，把它们挖出来。 他的持仓有一个共同点——它们都不是明星股，但每一只都精准卡在 AI 产业链的某个咽喉。

## 三、他买了什么？

### 半导体上游（功率 · 衬底 · 老化测试）

$Navitas Semiconductor(NVTS.US) —— GaN/SiC 功率半导体，数据中心和电动车的功率瓶颈

$AXT(AXTI.US) —— 化合物半导体衬底，光通信 and 射频器件的底层材料

$Aehr Test(AEHR.US) —— 晶圆级老化测试设备，SiC 和光器件量产前的必经环节

$Amkor Tech(AMKR.US) —— 半导体封装测试，先进封装链条的隐形玩家

### CPO · 硅光生态

$POET Tech(POET.US) —— 硅光集成引擎，CPO 路线的核心叙事之一

$Coherent Corp.(COHR.US) —— 高速光模块与激光，800G/1.6T 时代的核心供应商

$Lumentum(LITE.US) —— 光通信器件与激光器，数据中心光互联龙头

$Applied Optoelectronics(AAOI.US) —— 数据中心光模块，中文圈最早被翻爆的一只

### 感知与机器人

$Aeva Tech(AEVA.US) —— FMCW 4D 激光雷达，自动驾驶和工业感知的下一代方案

### AI 算力核心

$NVIDIA(NVDA.US) —— AI GPU 与 CUDA 生态，无需多言

$Arm(ARM.US) —— CPU 指令集架构授权，AI 推理端和移动端的底层

$Alphabet(GOOGL.US) —— 搜索广告与云，自研 TPU 的另一条算力路径

$Micron Tech(MU.US) —— DRAM 与 HBM 高带宽内存，AI 算力的另一个咽喉

$Nebius(NBIS.US) —— GPU 云算力，新一代算力租赁玩家

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## Comments (30)

- **李涵悦李博思的交易员 · 2026-05-31T05:22:13.000Z · 👍 1**: There's good news again
- **爱理财的小Tom · 2026-05-30T09:03:22.000Z**: Let him try the A-share market😡
- **Lucky2026 · 2026-05-29T23:25:30.000Z**: It's so scary to mislead the public 😥
- **大A过来的 · 2026-05-28T22:55:25.000Z · 👍 2**: This guy is exactly the same as the so-called hot money stock gods created by the A-share market, casting a wide net, hoping to catch big fish. No one knows about those who lose a lot of money, only those who make a lot of money are heard, and anyone can do that.
- **为什么不抄底 · 2026-05-28T16:36:06.000Z**: I heard there are trillions of funds outside, so placing an order is indeed easy.
- **用戶_EtjDls · 2026-05-28T16:22:38.000Z**: When will you start a course to recommend stocks and form a group to cut the leeks (scam naive investors)?
- **强小强 · 2026-05-28T15:08:25.000Z**: Guru
- **McG麥格雷戈 · 2026-05-28T13:51:32.000Z**: By the time you know about this news, these supply chain stocks will have already been pulled up to high levels.
- **红树街交易员李华 · 2026-05-28T13:34:59.000Z**: The portfolio of the stock-picking guru is for you guys who love to "open a supermarket" (i.e., hold many different stocks) ❤️
- **冷静别慌 · 2026-05-28T13:08:19.000Z · 👍 2**: Why does it feel like releasing this kind of news at this time is like reaching the end, encouraging everyone to take over the position!
- **黄金矿工爱投资 · 2026-05-28T12:35:20.000Z · 👍 1**: It's somewhat similar to shilling in the crypto world back in the day, with a lot of shilling for US stocks, hoping to hit one out of many.
- **福田小多多 · 2026-05-28T12:14:23.000Z · 👍 2**: Buy 100 stocks like buying pepper, and there will always be one or two outstanding ones that you can brag about.
- **ST欧阳昆汀(被困Hims版) · 2026-05-28T12:12:37.000Z · 👍 3**: The hims he is bullish on is still just a street-side one
- **Belial213 · 2026-05-28T12:12:25.000Z · 👍 5**: There should be many such resources online, but whether they are paid or free, in the end it all comes down to your own understanding. No one can teach you when to buy or when to sell.
- **不做韭菜了 · 2026-05-28T12:03:05.000Z · 👍 1**: Everyone is hyping it up, it seems like the capital is eyeing to set up a scheme.
- **蜜桃猫的交易员Jeff · 2026-05-28T11:43:55.000Z · 👍 8**: I've come across this person for the 3rd time recently. Unless there's a logic that can convince me, it's better to watch more and act less. 🤔
- **一时≠一世 · 2026-05-28T11:30:36.000Z · 👍 1**: Feels like it's almost a song
- **tom9988 · 2026-05-28T11:16:37.000Z · 👍 18**: This genius is suited for the A-share market, which is full of companies like this.
  - **永远不被套** (2026-05-28T11:17:25.000Z): A few days ago, I said I was going to call out a few (trades), but he doesn't play.
- **李涵悦李博思的交易员 · 2026-05-28T10:52:17.000Z · 👍 80**: Pouring some cold water on everyone's enthusiasm, this guru has recommended many stocks. Some have multiplied dozens of times, while others have plummeted straight to the foot of the mountain. The essence is casting a wide net and then betting on a hundred-bagger to promote oneself. Now, with their 
  - **芭菲鹿** (2026-05-28T11:14:25.000Z): All are small-cap stocks, very weak.
  - **比别人贪婪 更贪 越贪** (2026-05-28T11:16:30.000Z): If that's the case, I could be a master too. Last year, on a whim, I picked 5 stocks, and one of them went up 2000 times. I'm so regretful I could slap my thigh.
  - **石油大王** (2026-05-28T11:16:42.000Z): Thanks for the reminder from Stitching Villa Chengdu Eight-Faced Buddha