---
type: "Topics"
locale: "en"
url: "https://longbridge.com/en/topics/41821692.md"
description: "$SpaceX(SPCX.US)SpaceX's valuation is undoubtedly overestimated, but it's important to consider that the placed shares only account for about 3% of the total share capital, and the previously locked-up shares will only be gradually unlocked later.The first batch of shares will be unlocked around mid-August, coinciding with the Q2 earnings report. During this period, there will be institutional position building, retail buying, as well as leverage funds, index passive funds, etc. With only this limited supply available in the market, there is indeed a scarcity factor.Based on this perspective, I designed a model using Claude to roughly simulate several possible stock price trajectories (sorted by low, medium, and high market sentiment). For your reference."
datetime: "2026-06-12T15:03:25.000Z"
locales:
  - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/topics/41821692.md)
  - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/topics/41821692.md)
  - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/topics/41821692.md)
author: "[还差3800出圣者遗物](https://longbridge.com/en/profiles/16521391.md)"
---

# $SpaceX(SPCX.US)SpaceX's valuation is undoubtedly …


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## Comments (7)

- **來鑫 · 2026-06-15T17:54:47.000Z**: Just buy without thinking if it's below 160.
  - **还差3800出圣者遗物** (2026-06-15T17:57:49.000Z): Before the market opened yesterday, the opening price was uniformly calculated based on the bid price of 170, which is not reliable. Moreover, this kind of rough simulation is just a simple analysis; 
- **lonnie_xu · 2026-06-15T17:37:38.000Z · 👍 1**: So when would be a good time for me to get it?
- ***烟火声* · 2026-06-13T16:53:57.000Z · 👍 1**: That's interesting.
- **还差3800出圣者遗物 · 2026-06-12T15:08:47.000Z**: The opening price was set at 170 half an hour ago, and it's even lower now.
- **温哥华的小雨 · 2026-06-12T15:07:17.000Z · 👍 1**: Only 3800 left, no scroll, can't get Radiance.
  - **还差3800出圣者遗物** (2026-06-12T15:07:35.000Z): I'm still 3800 short