
Several liquidity easing themes are playing out simultaneously today: $iShares Gold Trust(IAU.US) and $SPDR Gold Shares(GLD.US) both rose a little over one percent, $iShares Silver Tr(SLV.US) moved more strongly, gaining almost two percent; $iShares barclays 20+ Yr Treasury Bd(TLT.US) barely moved.
The drivers are the interest rate cut already being implemented + the US dollar index reaching the 99.5 level + the return of risk appetite after US-Iran geopolitical tensions eased. Both precious metals and long-term bonds being pushed up reflects not a single-asset logic, but the main theme of "liquidity conditions + real interest rate decline" is still in play.
The elasticity of silver outperforming gold relative to gold typically appears in the middle to later stages of historical interest rate cut cycles. Duration assets have already priced in part of the rate cut expectations; subsequent moves will depend on the wording of the Fed's statement.
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