---
type: "Topics"
locale: "en"
url: "https://longbridge.com/en/topics/43260132.md"
description: "$Microsoft(MSFT.US) After it goes above 500, I will start to gradually reduce my position and close it completely before 600: because above 600, it gradually deviates from the original purpose of my arbitrage.The risk for Microsoft lies in the fact that its actual revenue is too tightly bound to OpenAI. Although Microsoft realized this problem very early on, whether through some actions or reassurances during conference calls, they are trying hard to decouple from OpenAI, but as a large enterprise, especially Microsoft, execution is not that easy.And friends who know me well know that I have always viewed OpenAI as the most uncertain risk factor in this round of the AI craze. If the operational explosion of one or two companies would burst the bubble of the entire AI narrative, this unstable company with too broad connection points is OpenAI. This doesn't mean OpenAI will definitely explode, but in terms of overall position allocation, you need to spend more effort to find positions that are weakly correlated or even negatively correlated with it to balance.Before this round of AI narrative reaches a state of utter chaos, Microsoft will only be my main arbitrage target, rather than a long-term investment target. After the risks are released, we can sit down again if fate allows to talk about Microsoft's future story."
datetime: "2026-08-07T02:55:44.000Z"
locales:
  - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/topics/43260132.md)
  - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/topics/43260132.md)
  - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/topics/43260132.md)
author: "[輸棟樓的韭菜](https://longbridge.com/en/profiles/10647684.md)"
---

# $Microsoft(MSFT.US) After it goes above 500, I wil…


### Related Stocks

- [MSFT.US](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/MSFT.US.md)
- [OpenAI.NA](https://longbridge.com/en/quote/OpenAI.NA.md)

## Comments (19)

- **周树人的交易员 · 2026-08-07T22:22:45.000Z**: Agreed, since the arbitrage target has been achieved, floating profits should not be a reason to change motivation.
- **长桥挺好的 · 2026-08-07T15:57:20.000Z**: Follow
- **輸棟樓的韭菜 · 2026-08-07T15:49:16.000Z · 👍 1**: Plan to reduce position in 3-4 tranches; the first tranche has already been sold at 504.11.
- **SpiceMonkey · 2026-08-07T11:40:04.000Z**: I think the rise of open-source models provides a suitable fallback.
- **新用户_oY5kRJ · 2026-08-07T09:09:22.000Z**: Always following
- **Justinti2009 · 2026-08-07T08:16:42.000Z · 👍 1**: I am rolling my positions to gradually lower the cost basis. Don't fall in love with stocks.
- **Tsinghe · 2026-08-07T08:06:50.000Z**: 500 reduced by 1/3🤓
- **zeta · 2026-08-07T07:18:50.000Z**: Starting to sell calls around 550 today, hoping they get exercised and called away.
- **牛市赚笨钱 · 2026-08-07T06:44:03.000Z · 👍 1**: I am more bullish than you. I already took a heavy position a while ago, started reducing it at the new high, with a base position of around 700.
  - **輸棟樓的韭菜** (2026-08-07T07:45:29.000Z): I want to buy too many, no need to squeeze out every last penny. I just need to manage my risk-reward ratio.
- **韭條悟 · 2026-08-07T06:12:10.000Z · 👍 1**: I plan to hold it for the long term
  - **輸棟樓的韭菜** (2026-08-07T06:25:33.000Z): Going through the cycle is also a good path
- **投机阿蓝 · 2026-08-07T05:07:16.000Z**: There's hardly any OpenAI factor left anymore.
- **哆啦A梦の彼女 · 2026-08-07T04:34:17.000Z**: Thank you for your analysis and reminder🔔 I will study hard.
- **报告大王说 · 2026-08-07T03:18:48.000Z**: Started reducing at 480 😂😂
- **jessie_liu2016 · 2026-08-07T03:17:08.000Z**: All options have been cleared, only holding the underlying stock now.
- **阿道夫的交易员 · 2026-08-07T03:13:07.000Z**: Same here. Keep buying Microsoft's double below 400, and keep selling between 500-600. Before AGI arrives, human-designed AI has little meaning; only when AGI designs itself can a qualitative breakthrough occur. Human design is merely the difference between 100 combat power and 120 combat power.
- **十个十七 · 2026-08-07T03:08:56.000Z · 👍 3**: Started reducing positions last night.
- **akski · 2026-08-07T02:58:42.000Z · 👍 1**: I started reducing my positions last night 😿😿😿