---
title: "S&P 500 has fallen for six consecutive days, can the market still be good?"
type: "News"
locale: "zh-CN"
url: "https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/202576757.md"
description: "Deutsche Bank stated that historically, the median performance within one month after a six consecutive drop in the S&P is +3.5%"
datetime: "2024-04-23T08:24:47.000Z"
locales:
  - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/202576757.md)
  - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/202576757.md)
  - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/202576757.md)
---

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# S&P 500 has fallen for six consecutive days, can the market still be good?

Last Friday, US tech stocks experienced a "Black Friday", with the S&P 500 index falling for six consecutive trading days for the first time in a year and a half, marking the worst weekly performance since the risk of Silicon Valley bank collapse in March last year.

Accompanied by the peak of the US stock earnings season, the S&P ended the six-day losing streak on Monday, closing up 0.87% at 5010.60 points.

Next, can the US stock market continue its early-year rally?

On April 22, Deutsche Bank released a new research report analyzing the six consecutive trading days of decline in the S&P 500 index and predicting the future market trend.

Deutsche Bank pointed out that the six-day decline of the S&P 500 index is the ninth time this situation has occurred in nearly ten years, averaging less than once a year, and stated:

> Since the end of 2021, the overall return of US 1-3 month Treasury bills has exceeded the S&P 500 index.
> 
> 
Deutsche Bank believes that the main factors leading to the market decline this time are twofold: first, the escalation of the situation in the Middle East has driven risk aversion, and second, with inflation still sticky, the market expects the Fed interest rates to remain high for a longer period of time.

Looking ahead, **Deutsche Bank remains optimistic overall, believing that the S&P is likely to regain its upward momentum.**

The report stated that historically, after a six-day decline, the S&P has often achieved steady growth in the following period, with a median performance of +3.5% within a month.

> Since 2000, the S&P 500 index has experienced six consecutive declines 17 times.
> 
> Looking at the historical performance of the median in one month, the S&P is expected to remain relatively stable in the coming weeks, but a stronger rebound is expected later this month. Out of the 17 rebounds, 12 turned positive after 30 days.
> 
> > 
> Looking at the historical performance of the median in six months, most also show a positive trend.
> 
> > 
> Of course, there are some exceptions, but whether looking at a time span of 1 month, 3 months, or 6 months, the index mostly shows a steady increase in the subsequent period.

In conclusion, the report states that based on historical performance, a six consecutive drop in the S&P index does not necessarily mean it will continue to fall, and there is potential for a steady recovery in the next 6 months

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