---
title: "可可价格暴跌，流动性消失"
description: "纽约可可期货经历了近 65 年来最大的单日跌幅，下跌 15%，原因是天气预报改善和流动性下滑。尽管价格暴跌，专家们认为可可短缺并未结束"
type: "news"
locale: "zh-CN"
url: "https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/203125829.md"
published_at: "2024-04-30T00:01:10.000Z"
---

# 可可价格暴跌，流动性消失

> 纽约可可期货经历了近 65 年来最大的单日跌幅，下跌 15%，原因是天气预报改善和流动性下滑。尽管价格暴跌，专家们认为可可短缺并未结束

Cocoa futures in New York crashed Monday in their biggest daily drawdown on record, driven mostly byimproved weather forecasts andsliding liquidity.

**"Cocoa prices are melting down. New York and London cocoa futures are down ~15% today (that's, by far, the largest one-day % drop in data going back nearly 65 years),"**Bloomberg'sJavier Blas wrote on X.

> CHART OF THE DAY: Cocoa prices are melting down. New York and London cocoa futures are down ~15% today (that's, by far, the largest one-day % drop in data going back nearly 65 years). #cocoa #chocflation https://t.co/hzcOgHkC2U pic.twitter.com/a3BxC9XjCw
> 
> — Javier Blas (@JavierBlas) April 29, 2024

Futures fell 15% to $8,931 a ton,having hita record high of$11,722 on April 19.

On April 9, during the surge from $9,000 to nearly $12,000, Blas warned:**"Liquidity in cocoa markets is quickly evaporating."**

****

Saxo Bank's head of commodity strategy, Ole Hansen, explained toDow Jones Newswires that today's selloff was triggered by an improving weather forecast for rain inWest Africa, the mecca of cocoa farming.Thiswill only boost the bean outlook formid-season crops. He also noted that the front contract showed strong signs of 'buyer fatigue.'

**"Liquidity in the market due to the intense volatility of cocoa's prices has also disappeared, so any kind of news--good or bad--will trigger strong fluctuations in price,"**Hansen said, adding that the latestcommitment of traders report exhibitedbroad selling from commercial traders, with the long exposure sliding to a 14-month low as traders panic exit the chaotic market.

Despite the cocoa plunge,London-based trading and agricultural consultantPaulo Torres told Bloomberg,**"The shortage is not over" and "theelephant in the room is the fact that Ivory Coast and Ghana do not have cocoa, so there is no way prices can fall significantly."**

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