---
title: "The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in November is 70.4%, while the probability of no rate cut has risen to 29.6%"
type: "News"
locale: "zh-CN"
url: "https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/216381584.md"
description: "According to CME's \"FedWatch\" tool: The probability of the Fed cutting 25 basis points by November is 70.4%, while the probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged is 29.6%. The probability of a cumulative 50 basis points rate cut by December is 65.3%, with a probability of 75 basis points cut being 8.7%; and the probability of a cumulative 100 basis points cut is 0%"
datetime: "2024-10-09T22:04:54.000Z"
locales:
  - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/216381584.md)
  - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/216381584.md)
  - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/216381584.md)
---

> 支持的语言: [English](https://longbridge.com/en/news/216381584.md) | [繁體中文](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/216381584.md)


# The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in November is 70.4%, while the probability of no rate cut has risen to 29.6%

According to CME's "FedWatch Tool" on October 10th, the probability of the Fed cutting rates by 25 basis points in November is 70.4%, while the probability of keeping the current interest rates unchanged is 29.6%. The probability of a total rate cut of 50 basis points by December is 65.3%, 75 basis points is 8.7%, and 100 basis points is 0%

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