---
title: "Wall Street predicts increased volatility in the US stock market, Morgan Stanley expects: S&P 500 may drop up to 5% in the first half of the year"
type: "News"
locale: "zh-CN"
url: "https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/231255863.md"
description: "Wall Street strategists warn of rising volatility in U.S. stocks, with Morgan Stanley's Michael Wilson expecting the S&P 500 index to drop by as much as 5% before mid-2024, to around 5,500 points. The index closed at 5,770 points on Friday. Concerns about an economic slowdown have intensified due to Trump's tariff policies and declining fiscal spending, leading institutions like JP Morgan to temper their bullish outlook on U.S. stocks. The S&P 500 index has fallen by about 2% year-to-date"
datetime: "2025-03-10T17:18:54.000Z"
locales:
  - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/231255863.md)
  - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/231255863.md)
  - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/231255863.md)
---

> 支持的语言: [English](https://longbridge.com/en/news/231255863.md) | [繁體中文](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/231255863.md)


# Wall Street predicts increased volatility in the US stock market, Morgan Stanley expects: S&P 500 may drop up to 5% in the first half of the year

Multiple Wall Street strategists have warned that volatility in the U.S. stock market is rising, with Morgan Stanley's Michael Wilson reminding investors to remain vigilant about the prospects of economic slowdown under the trade war. This strategist, who has been bearish on the stock market until mid-2024, stated that Trump's tariff policies and declining fiscal spending will hurt corporate profits, predicting that the S&P 500 index could drop by as much as 5% to around 5,500 points in the first half of this year. The benchmark index closed at 5,770 points on Friday. Market forecasters from institutions such as JP Morgan and Canaccord Genuity have tempered their bullish expectations for U.S. stocks this year, as Trump's tariff measures have raised concerns about economic slowdown. The S&P 500 index has fallen approximately 2% this year, with investors questioning the high valuations of large technology stocks

### 相关股票

- [S&P 500 (.SPX.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/.SPX.US.md)
- [JPMorgan Chase (JPM.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/JPM.US.md)
- [Morgan Stanley (MS.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/MS.US.md)

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