---
title: "穆迪表示，印度的增长将在发达和新兴 G20 国家中位居首位"
description: "穆迪预计，尽管印度在 2025 财年的增长率为 6.7%，到 2026 财年略微下降至 6.5%，但其增长仍将是发达和新兴 G20 国家中最高的。这一增长得益于税收措施和货币宽松，包括个人所得税减免的增加和政策回购利率的降低。报告强调，印度凭借其庞大的以国内市场为导向的经济和可观的外汇储备，具备吸引全球资本的强大优势，同时也指出了较小、更加开放经济体所面临的挑战"
type: "news"
locale: "zh-CN"
url: "https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/234068029.md"
published_at: "2025-04-01T13:15:53.000Z"
---

# 穆迪表示，印度的增长将在发达和新兴 G20 国家中位居首位

> 穆迪预计，尽管印度在 2025 财年的增长率为 6.7%，到 2026 财年略微下降至 6.5%，但其增长仍将是发达和新兴 G20 国家中最高的。这一增长得益于税收措施和货币宽松，包括个人所得税减免的增加和政策回购利率的降低。报告强调，印度凭借其庞大的以国内市场为导向的经济和可观的外汇储备，具备吸引全球资本的强大优势，同时也指出了较小、更加开放经济体所面临的挑战

Global credit rating agency Moody’s on Tuesday said that India’s growth, despite slowing to 6.5 per cent in FY26 from 6.7 per cent in FY25, will remain the highest among the advanced and emerging G20 countries due to support from tax measures and continued monetary easing.

“India's growth will remain the highest of the advanced and emerging G20 countries, supported by tax measures and continued easing,” the global credit rating agency noted in its latest report on emerging markets.

In February, the government in the Union Budget hiked the income tax rebate to Rs 12 lakh from Rs 7 lakh. Also, the central bank’s rate-setting panel slashed the policy repo rate by 25 basis points to 6.25 per cent, marking the first reduction in almost five years.

Besides, the report also noted that large emerging markets such as India and Brazil are better positioned to attract and retain global capital in risk-averse conditions because of their large and domestically oriented economies, deep domestic capital markets, moderate policy credibility and substantial foreign exchange reserves.

“By contrast, smaller and more open economies are more exposed to fluctuations in investor sentiment and currency volatility, as are economies with a large share of debt denominated in foreign currency, such as Argentina and Colombia,” the report noted.

On the inflation front, the report projected India’s inflation to average 4.5 per cent in the current financial year, down from 4.9 per cent in FY25.

The report also noted that emerging markets are "exposed to choppy waters" from the churn of United States policies and their potential to reshape global capital flows, supply chains, trade and geopolitics.

“Large emerging markets have resources to navigate the turbulence. But smaller, open emerging markets are more vulnerable because they rely more on cross-border trade and investment for growth. Differentiation among emerging markets in terms of economic growth, financing conditions and currency volatility will become more pronounced as United States policies continue to shift, with potentially far-reaching credit implications,” the report noted.

### Related Stocks

- [MCO.US - 穆迪](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/MCO.US.md)

## Related News & Research

| Title | Description | URL |
|-------|-------------|-----|
| Moody's Sees Strong Growth In FY26; Shares Up 3.2% - Update | Moody's Corp. (MCO) reported its fourth-quarter financial results and provided guidance for fiscal 2026, projecting earn | [Link](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/276230396.md) |
| Moody's Corporation reports results for fourth quarter and full year 2025 | Moody's Corporation reports results for fourth quarter and full year 2025 | [Link](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/276226864.md) |
| Moody's Corporation $MCO Shares Acquired by Vanguard Group Inc. | Vanguard Group Inc. increased its stake in Moody's Corporation (NYSE:MCO) by 1.1% in Q3, owning 15,170,285 shares valued | [Link](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/276124761.md) |
| What's Going On With Moody's Corporation Stock Today? | Moody's Corporation (NYSE:MCO) shares rose 6.17% to $449.53 after exceeding Q4 expectations with adjusted EPS of $3.64 a | [Link](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/276260960.md) |
| Moody's Q4 Adjusted Earnings, Revenue Increase; Introduces 2026 Adjusted EPS, Revenue Growth Guidance | Moody's Q4 Adjusted Earnings, Revenue Increase; Introduces 2026 Adjusted EPS, Revenue Growth Guidance | [Link](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/276229217.md) |

---

> **免责声明**：本文内容仅供参考，不构成任何投资建议。
