---
title: "US Stocks Likely To Open Lower After S&P 500's Six-Day Streak: 'Quick Recoveries Tend To See Stocks Rally More Over The Next 3-12 Months,' Says Expert"
type: "News"
locale: "zh-CN"
url: "https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/241012214.md"
description: "U.S. stock futures are slightly lower following a flat Monday, with the S&P 500 index having a six-day advance despite Moody's downgrade of U.S. credit. Analysts suggest that quick recoveries in the S&P 500 often lead to rallies in the following months. BlackRock is shifting towards inflation-linked bonds due to concerns over U.S. fiscal sustainability. Upcoming speeches from Fed officials are anticipated, and stocks like Home Depot and Toll Brothers are in focus for earnings reports."
datetime: "2025-05-20T10:25:19.000Z"
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  - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/241012214.md)
  - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/241012214.md)
---

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# US Stocks Likely To Open Lower After S&P 500's Six-Day Streak: 'Quick Recoveries Tend To See Stocks Rally More Over The Next 3-12 Months,' Says Expert

U.S. stock futures were slightly lower on Tuesday after ending largely flat on Monday. Futures of major benchmark indices were trading lower in premarket.

The S&P 500 index recorded its sixth session of advance by ending marginally higher, shrugging off the Moody’s downgrade from the weekend.

Experts were assessing the impact of President **Donald Trump**‘s tax cuts via the proposed ‘Big, Beautiful Bill,’ as Moody’s also highlighted the impact of the tax cuts from 2017, and underscored it as a key reason for its decision to downgrade the U.S. credit rating from Aaa to Aa1 on May 16, 2025.

Meanwhile, the 10-year Treasury bond yielded 4.45% and the two-year bond was at 3.96%. The CME Group's FedWatch tool‘s projections show markets pricing a 91.4% likelihood of the Federal Reserve keeping the current interest rates unchanged in its June meeting.

The **SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust** SPY and **Invesco QQQ Trust ETF** QQQ, which track the S&P 500 index and Nasdaq 100 index, respectively, fell in premarket on Tuesday. The SPY was down 0.29% to $593.14, while the QQQ declined 0.39% to $519.99, according to Benzinga Pro data.

**Cues From Last Session:**

Healthcare, consumer staples, and industrials led the S&P 500’s Monday gains as U.S. stocks mostly climbed, with the Dow Jones adding over 100 points.

However, energy and consumer discretionary stocks bucked the upward trend, closing lower.

This positive momentum followed a strong prior week where the S&P 500 rose 5.3%, the Dow increased 3.4%, and the Nasdaq Composite surged 7.2%.

Despite Moody’s downgrading U.S. sovereign credit from Aaa to Aa1, investors showed limited concern. Notably, **UnitedHealth Group Inc.** UNH shares jumped over 8% on Monday, extending Friday’s 6% surge, after executives purchased shares during a recent dip.

**Novavax Inc.** NVAX also soared 15% following FDA approval for its Nuvaxovid COVID-19 vaccine for high-risk individuals.

On the economic front, the CB Leading Index saw a 1% monthly decline in April.

**Insights From Analysts:**

As the S&P 500 index recovered and it was just 2.99% lower than its all-time high of 6,147.43 points, **Subu Trade** shares data in an X post suggesting that the index tends to rally for 2-12 months after notching such “quick recoveries.”

Last time the S&P 500 recovered from -18% to -3% within 50 days, it returned 20.43% on average after one year and 4.86% after three months.

Also, the data shows that the index was higher than 100% of the time after nine months and a year.

“These quick recoveries tend to see stocks rally more over the next 3-12 months. Momentum is strong,” the X post stated.

Meanwhile, analysts at **BlackRock** bet on rising inflation by being "overweight" on the inflation-linked bonds.

This strategic shift is to mitigate risks stemming from "persistent inflation pressure" and growing concerns over the sustainability of U.S. government finances.

The note also highlighted how the U.S. debt sustainability relies on large and steady funding by foreign investors.

"The downgrade reinforces the U.S. fiscal sustainability challenge that we've long flagged, especially persistent U.S. budget deficits at a time when higher interest rates are boosting debt servicing costs. If these dynamics dent the confidence of foreign bond holders, rising term premium could push up bond yields and debt servicing costs even more," explained BlackRock in its note.

As a result, BlackRock’s current strategy now anticipates higher term premiums for U.S. Treasuries and ongoing inflation.

"That’s why our starting point also includes our expectation of rising term premium for U.S. Treasuries and persistent inflation pressure. We go overweight inflation-linked bonds and neutral global investment grade credit given wider spreads," the note stated.

Even though U.S. assets are still core to their portfolios, BlackRock’s shift into inflation-linked bonds highlights their proactive approach to counter looming fiscal and inflationary challenges.

**Upcoming Economic Data**

Here’s what investors will keep an eye on Tuesday:

-   Richmond Fed President **Tom Barkin** will speak at 9:00 a.m. ET.
-   Boston Fed President **Susan Collins** will participate in the ‘Fed Listens’ event at 9:30 a.m. ET.
-   St. Louis Fed President **Alberto Musalem** will speak at 1:00 p.m., and Federal Reserve Governor **Adriana Kugler** will speak at 5:00 p.m. ET.

**Stocks In Focus:**

-   **Home Depot Inc.** HD was 0.36% higher in premarket on Tuesday as analysts expect it to report quarterly earnings of $3.60 per share on revenue of $39.33, before the opening bell.
-   **Toll Brothers Inc.** TOL was up 0.75% as Wall Street expects it to report earnings after the closing bell. It is expected to post earnings of $2.83 per share on revenue of $2.48 billion.
-   **Palo Alto Networks Inc.** PANW was 0.026% above the flatline as analysts expect it to report quarterly earnings of 77 cents per share on revenue of $2.28 billion, after the closing bell.
-   **Ekso Bionics Holdings Inc.** EKSO dropped 19.34% after announcing a 1-for-15 reverse stock split.
-   **8×8 Inc.** EGHT jumped 5% and posted in-line earnings for the fourth quarter on Monday.
-   **DigiAsia Corp.** FAAS fell 15.56% after announcing that it will allocate up to 50% of net profits for **Bitcoin** BTC/USD acquisition as part of a new strategic treasury reserve. The company also aims to raise upto $100 million to establish its initial BTC holdings and plans to generate yield through regulated institutional lending and staking.
-   **Lyra Therapeutics Inc.** LYRA dropped 20.21% after announcing a reverse stock split, at 1-for-50, effective from May 27, 2025.
-   **Yalla Group Ltd. ADR** YALA slumped 9.08% after the first quarter showed an 8% year-over-year decline in paying users to 11.8 million.
-   **ASP Isotopes Inc.** ASPI zoomed 14.49% after announcing multiple deals with **TerraPower** involving financial support and future HALEU supply.

**Commodities, Gold, And Global Equity Markets:**

Crude oil futures were trading lower in the early New York session by 0.19% to hover around $62.02 per barrel.

Gold Spot US Dollar rose 0.24% to hover around $3,238.07 per ounce. Its last record high stood at $3,500.33 per ounce. The U.S. Dollar Index spot was lower by 0.22% at the 100.2010 level.

Asian markets ended higher on Tuesday except South Korea's Kospi and India's S&P BSE Sensex index. Australia's ASX 200, Japan's Nikkei 225, Hong Kong's Hang Seng, and China’s CSI 300 indices advanced. European markets were higher in early trade.

-   **Federal Reserve Should Do ‘Nothing At All’ About The Rising Yields, Says Craig Shapiro: ‘Let The Bond Vigilantes Eat’  
    **

_Photo courtesy: Shutterstock_

### 相关股票

- [Home Depot (HD.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/HD.US.md)
- [Toll Brothers (TOL.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/TOL.US.md)

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