---
title: "高盛改变对 OPEC+ 的产油预测 现预计 8 月将第四次增产"
description: "高盛集团预计 OPEC+ 将在 8 月连续第四个月增产，改变了之前暂停增产的预测。分析师指出，现货原油市场紧张、全球经济活动强劲以及夏季需求支撑是增产的利好因素。预计需求放缓不足以阻止增产决策。"
type: "news"
locale: "zh-CN"
url: "https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/242771966.md"
published_at: "2025-06-02T10:02:02.000Z"
---

# 高盛改变对 OPEC+ 的产油预测 现预计 8 月将第四次增产

> 高盛集团预计 OPEC+ 将在 8 月连续第四个月增产，改变了之前暂停增产的预测。分析师指出，现货原油市场紧张、全球经济活动强劲以及夏季需求支撑是增产的利好因素。预计需求放缓不足以阻止增产决策。

高盛集团表示，预计石油输出国组织及其盟友 (OPEC+) 将在 8 月连续第四个月增加石油产量，改变了该机构早前认为的 OPEC+ 在周末会议后将暂停增产的观点。“相对吃紧的现货原油基本面、强于预期的全球经济活动数据，以及夏季对原油需求的季节性支撑” 均构成利好，包括 Daan Struyven 在内的分析师在报告中指出。“预计需求放缓的幅度不足以在 7 月 6 日决定 8 月产量水平时阻止增产。”

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