---
title: "Morningstar: Tesla's sales are expected to decline after the subsidy expires, maintaining a fair value estimate of $250 for Tesla stock"
type: "News"
locale: "zh-CN"
url: "https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/243378721.md"
description: "Morningstar strategist Seth Goldstein stated that Tesla's sales will decline after the expiration of electric vehicle subsidies in the United States, predicting that the cancellation of the $7,500 tax credit by the end of 2025 will come seven years earlier. He mentioned that Trump's threat to cancel Musk's government contracts and subsidies will impact SpaceX more than Tesla. Morningstar maintains a fair value estimate of $250 for Tesla's stock and believes that subsidies are not the driving force behind the long-term growth of electric vehicles"
datetime: "2025-06-06T04:31:07.000Z"
locales:
  - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/243378721.md)
  - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/243378721.md)
  - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/243378721.md)
---

> 支持的语言: [English](https://longbridge.com/en/news/243378721.md) | [繁體中文](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/243378721.md)


# Morningstar: Tesla's sales are expected to decline after the subsidy expires, maintaining a fair value estimate of $250 for Tesla stock

Morningstar strategist Seth Goldstein reported that Tesla's sales are expected to decline after an electric vehicle subsidy expires in the United States. He stated that the U.S. spending bill will eliminate the $7,500 electric vehicle tax credit by the end of 2025, which is seven years earlier than originally planned. He also mentioned that former U.S. President Trump has threatened to cancel all government contracts and subsidies for Musk, which would have a greater impact on Musk's SpaceX than on Tesla. Currently, Morningstar maintains a fair value estimate of $250 for Tesla's stock. Morningstar believes that subsidies are not a long-term growth driver for electric vehicles

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