--- title: "在第三季度财报发布前，应该买入还是卖出花旗集团的股票？" description: "花旗集团计划于 2025 年 10 月 14 日公布其第三季度财报，预计收入为 210 亿美元，每股收益为 1.83 美元，分别同比增长 4% 和 20%。这一增长归因于强劲的投资银行业绩和提升的交易收入。历史数据显示，财报发布后出现正收益的概率为 50%，正收益的中位回报率为 1.8%。建议投资者在做出交易决策时考虑历史模式和收益之间的相关性" type: "news" locale: "zh-CN" url: "https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/260460058.md" published_at: "2025-10-09T12:41:07.000Z" --- # 在第三季度财报发布前，应该买入还是卖出花旗集团的股票？ > 花旗集团计划于 2025 年 10 月 14 日公布其第三季度财报，预计收入为 210 亿美元，每股收益为 1.83 美元，分别同比增长 4% 和 20%。这一增长归因于强劲的投资银行业绩和提升的交易收入。历史数据显示，财报发布后出现正收益的概率为 50%，正收益的中位回报率为 1.8%。建议投资者在做出交易决策时考虑历史模式和收益之间的相关性 Money Markets Buy Or Sell Citi Stock Ahead Of Q3 Earnings? ByTrefis Team , Contributor. Forbes contributors publish independent expert analyses and insights. Building a platform to do the job of 1 million analysts for Great Speculations Follow Author Oct 09, 2025, 08:20am EDT Share Save Comment Photo by Smith Collection/Gado/Getty Images Gado via Getty Images Citigroup (NYSE:C) is scheduled to announce its earnings on Tuesday, October 14, 2025. According to consensus estimates, revenues are projected to be approximately $21 billion, which is a 4% increase compared to the previous year, while earnings are anticipated to be around $1.83 per share, reflecting a 20% rise year-over-year. The growth is likely to be fueled by a robust investment banking segment, amidst relatively volatile markets and heightened deal activity, as well as enhanced fixed income and equity trading revenues. Furthermore, the wealth management division is expected to perform well, supported by stronger asset growth and expansion in the company's premium wealth management services – Citigold, the Private Bank, and Wealth at Work businesses. The company's current market capitalization stands at $181 billion. Over the last twelve months, it has generated revenues of $83 billion and a net income of $14 billion. A significant part of the outcome will rely on how the results compare to consensus expectations; however, understanding historical patterns could improve your chances if you are an event-driven trader. There are two approaches for this: either comprehend the historical odds and place your position before the earnings release, or analyze the relationship between immediate and medium-term returns following earnings and adjust your position accordingly post-release. That being said, if you are seeking growth with lower volatility compared to individual stocks, the Trefis High Quality portfolio offers an alternative – having outperformed the S&P 500 and yielding returns over 91% since its inception. See earnings reaction history of all stocks Citigroup's Historical Odds Of Positive Post-Earnings Return Here are some insights regarding one-day (1D) returns following earnings: MORE FOR YOU There have been 18 earnings data points recorded over the past five years, resulting in 9 positive and 9 negative one-day (1D) returns. Thus, positive 1D returns occurred approximately 50% of the time. This percentage rises to 55% when considering data from the last 3 years instead of 5. The median for the 9 positive returns is 1.8%, whereas the median for the 9 negative returns is -1.8% Additional data on observed 5-Day (5D) and 21-Day (21D) returns following earnings are compiled along with the statistics in the table below. 1D, 5D, and 21D Post Earnings Return Trefis Correlation Between 1D, 5D, and 21D Historical Returns A relatively safer strategy (albeit less effective if the correlation is low) involves understanding the relationship between short-term and medium-term returns following earnings, identifying a pair demonstrating the strongest correlation, and executing the relevant trade. For instance, if 1D and 5D display the highest correlation, a trader might consider going "long" for the subsequent 5 days if the 1D post-earnings return is positive. The following correlation data is based on both a 5-year and a 3-year (more recent) history. Note that correlation 1D\_5D represents the correlation between 1D post-earnings returns and the subsequent 5D returns. Correlation Between 1D, 5D and 21D Historical Returns Trefis Discover more about Trefis RV strategy that has outperformed its all-cap stocks benchmark (a combination of the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000), thus providing impressive returns for investors. Additionally, if you desire growth with a smoother experience than an individual stock like Citigroup, consider the High Quality portfolio , which has surpassed the S&P and achieved >91% returns since its inception. Why is this so? As a collective, HQ Portfolio stocks have delivered superior returns with less risk in comparison to the benchmark index; providing a less tumultuous experience, as illustrated by HQ Portfolio performance metrics. Editorial Standards Reprints & Permissions LOADING VIDEO PLAYER... 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