--- title: "希捷科技的股票在一周内下跌了 13%。你是否已经评估过相关风险？" description: "希捷科技（Seagate Technology，股票代码：STX）在过去一周的股价下跌了 12.6%，引发了对其估值的担忧。目前股价为 224.35 美元，公司市值为 480 亿美元，报告的收入增长为 38.9%。尽管基本面强劲，分析师仍然警告投资者不要购买，因可能会出现进一步下跌。历史表现显示，STX 在市场下行期间的表现逊色于标准普尔 500 指数，因此建议考虑多元化投资策略，而不是仅专注于个" type: "news" locale: "zh-CN" url: "https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/260483358.md" published_at: "2025-10-09T14:41:07.000Z" --- # 希捷科技的股票在一周内下跌了 13%。你是否已经评估过相关风险？ > 希捷科技（Seagate Technology，股票代码：STX）在过去一周的股价下跌了 12.6%，引发了对其估值的担忧。目前股价为 224.35 美元，公司市值为 480 亿美元，报告的收入增长为 38.9%。尽管基本面强劲，分析师仍然警告投资者不要购买，因可能会出现进一步下跌。历史表现显示，STX 在市场下行期间的表现逊色于标准普尔 500 指数，因此建议考虑多元化投资策略，而不是仅专注于个别股票 Money Markets Seagate Stock Declined 13% In A Week. Have You Assessed The Risk? ByTrefis Team , Contributor. Forbes contributors publish independent expert analyses and insights. Building a platform to do the job of 1 million analysts for Great Speculations Follow Author Oct 09, 2025, 10:12am EDT Share Save Comment Seagate Technology (STX) stock has decreased by 12.6% in 5 trading days. Do you already hold the stock or are you considering purchasing it? FREMONT, CALIFORNIA - OCTOBER 26: An exterior view of a Seagate office on October 26, 2022 in Fremont, California. Hard drive maker Seagate Technology announced plans to lay off 3000 employees as part of a restructuring plan to save $110 million per year. (Photo by Justin Sullivan/Getty Images) Getty Images You might want to rethink this due to the valuation, as the stock appears still overpriced. Consider the following information: Size: Seagate Technology is a $48 billion company with $9.1 billion in revenue currently trading at $224.35. Fundamentals: Revenue growth over the last 12 months stands at 38.9% with an operating margin of 21.1%. Liquidity: It has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.1 and a Cash to Assets ratio of 0.11. Valuation: Seagate Technology stock is presently trading at a P/E multiple of 32.8 and a P/EBIT multiple of 26.3. It has provided (median) returns of 65.7% within a year following significant dips since 2010. See STX Dip Buy Analysis. While we prefer to buy on dips when the fundamentals are sound — for STX, see Buy or Sell STX Stock — we are cautious about "falling knives." Specifically, it is essential to consider whether if circumstances worsen and STX falls another 20-30% to around $157, we will be able to maintain our hold on the stock? What is the worst-case scenario? We refer to this as downturn resilience. It turns out that the stock has performed worse than the S&P 500 index during various economic downturns. We evaluate this based on (a) the extent of the stock's decline and (b) the speed of its recovery. Single stock is always risky, while a broader diversified strategy that we pursue with Trefis High Quality Portfolio provides substantial value. Should you invest in one stock that you favor, or should you assemble a portfolio meant to perform well across different cycles? Our data suggests that High Quality Portfolio has transformed stock-picking uncertainty into consistent market-beating performance. This portfolio is part of the asset allocation strategy employed by Empirical Asset Management - a wealth manager based in the Boston area and a Trefis partner - whose asset allocation framework produced positive returns during the 2008-09 period when the S&P experienced a loss exceeding 40%. Below are the details on how STX has performed during past market crises, but first, for some background: STX offers data storage technology and solutions globally, providing hard disk drives, solid state drives, and advanced storage interfaces like SATA, SCSI, and NVMe. 2022 Inflation Shock STX stock decreased by 58.2% from a peak of $116.02 on 4 January 2022 to $48.49 on 3 November 2022 compared to a peak-to-trough decline of 25.4% for the S&P 500. However, the stock completely recovered to its pre-Crisis peak by 27 May 2025. Since then, the stock has risen to a maximum of $256.84 on 1 October 2025, and is currently valued at $224.35. 2022 Inflation Shock Trefis MORE FOR YOU 2020 Covid Pandemic STX stock dropped 35.6% from a peak of $63.23 on 24 January 2020 to $40.73 on 20 March 2020 compared to a peak-to-trough decline of 33.9% for the S&P 500. However, the stock fully regained its pre-Crisis peak by 4 December 2020. 2020 Covid Pandemic Trefis 2018 Correction STX stock declined 41.8% from a maximum of $62.11 on 18 April 2018 to $36.13 on 24 December 2018 compared to a peak-to-trough drop of 19.8% for the S&P 500. However, the stock fully recovered to its pre-Crisis peak by 23 January 2020. 2018 Correction Trefis 2008 Global Financial Crisis STX stock dropped 89.1% from a peak of $28.60 on 2 November 2007 to $3.11 on 23 January 2009 compared to a peak-to-trough decline of 56.8% for the S&P 500. However, the stock fully regained its pre-Crisis peak by 18 April 2012. 2008 Financial Crisis Trefis Concerned that STX could decline even further? You might explore the Trefis High Quality (HQ) Portfolio , featuring a collection of 30 stocks that has a proven record of comfortably outperforming its benchmark, including all three indices — the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000. What accounts for this? Collectively, HQ Portfolio stocks delivered superior returns with lower risk compared to the benchmark index; resulting in a smoother ride, as demonstrated in HQ Portfolio performance metrics . Editorial Standards Reprints & Permissions LOADING VIDEO PLAYER... 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