---
title: "沃尔沃预计北美卡车市场明年将会疲软 -- 更新"
description: "沃尔沃预计，由于客户行为谨慎以及与关税和排放法规相关的持续不确定性，北美卡车市场明年将略微疲软。北美长途货运市场正处于衰退，集团卡车订单下降了 14%。尽管麦克品牌卡车订单增长了 10%，但由于生产削减，交付量下降了 20%。沃尔沃已调整运营，并将其 2025 年北美卡车市场预测下调了 10,000 辆，同时维持欧洲市场的指导。该公司报告第三季度净利润为 75.4 亿克朗，低于去年同期的 100."
type: "news"
locale: "zh-CN"
url: "https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/261568127.md"
published_at: "2025-10-17T07:30:46.000Z"
---

# 沃尔沃预计北美卡车市场明年将会疲软 -- 更新

> 沃尔沃预计，由于客户行为谨慎以及与关税和排放法规相关的持续不确定性，北美卡车市场明年将略微疲软。北美长途货运市场正处于衰退，集团卡车订单下降了 14%。尽管麦克品牌卡车订单增长了 10%，但由于生产削减，交付量下降了 20%。沃尔沃已调整运营，并将其 2025 年北美卡车市场预测下调了 10,000 辆，同时维持欧洲市场的指导。该公司报告第三季度净利润为 75.4 亿克朗，低于去年同期的 100.2 亿克朗

By Dominic Chopping

STOCKHOLM--Volvo expects the North American truck market to be slightly weaker next year as customers remain cautious, but Europe is expected to hold up better.

The Swedish truckmaker said the North American long-haul freight market remains in recession, with lower freight volumes and freight prices. U.S. customers are taking a cautious stance as they also face continued uncertainty from tariffs and emissions rules.

President Trump last month announced a 25% tariff on all big trucks imported to the U.S., and though details remain scarce, it is creating overall demand uncertainty in the region, compounded by uncertainty over emissions proposals due to be implemented in 2027.

Group truck orders fell 14% in the quarter, with softness in Europe following good order momentum in the first half of the year. The European order backlog is at a good level, though, and deliveries in the quarter rose 10% as production was increased before the summer.

In North America, demand for Mack-branded straight trucks--vehicles that have the cab and cargo area permanently attached to a single frame--and refuse trucks helped orders rise 10% in the quarter. Deliveries in the region fell 20% though as the company cut production in response to the more difficult market conditions.

"We are in a period with weaker demand in our key regions and with increased uncertainty in North America," Chief Executive Martin Lundstedt said.

"We have adjusted our operations, applied strict cost control, remain firm on commercial conditions and drive our service business."

Volvo's customers continue to use their vehicles and machines, which means that they will have to be replaced sooner or later, and the company is well-positioned to capture growth in the next cyclical upturn, he added.

Volvo lowered its 2025 truck market forecast for North America by 10,000 trucks, but maintained its European guidance.

Looking to 2026, the company expects lower North American truck demand, targeting an overall market of 250,000 trucks versus the expected 265,000 in 2025. The European market is expected at 295,000 next year compared with the anticipated 290,000 this year.

Analysts at Bernstein said truck orders are around 16% below expectations, but the 2026 market outlooks are in line with the bank's model, so changes to 2026 consensus should be limited.

Volvo reported a third-quarter net profit of 7.54 billion Swedish kronor ($799.8 million) compared with 10.02 billion kronor a year earlier as sales fell 5.4% to 110.69 billion kronor. Analysts polled by FactSet had expected a net profit of 8.62 billion kronor on sales of 111.19 billion kronor.

Write to Dominic Chopping at dominic.chopping@wsj.com

(END) Dow Jones Newswires

10-17-25 0324ET

### Related Stocks

- [VLVLY.US - 沃尔沃(ADR)](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/VLVLY.US.md)

## Related News & Research

| Title | Description | URL |
|-------|-------------|-----|
| Volvo Trucks Kicks Off Production of New Regional Hauler in US | Volvo Trucks Kicks Off Production of New Regional Hauler in US | [Link](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/276212022.md) |
| Volvo reports loss after difficult end to 2025 | Volvo’s Q4 2025 results showed a 16% revenue drop, profits cut roughly in half, and a one-day ~20% share slide. The auto | [Link](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/275651353.md) |
| Almuneef Co. for Trade Buys Truck Heads for SAR3 Million | Almuneef Co. for Trade Buys Truck Heads for SAR3 Million | [Link](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/276036808.md) |
| MAN Trucks shows off its megawatt charging in subzero temperatures | MAN Trucks demonstrated the megawatt charging capabilities of its eTruck electric semi in subzero temperatures at the Ke | [Link](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/276026370.md) |
| Deutsche Bank Raises Volvo Target Price to 321 Kronor (from 290), Maintains Hold Rating | Deutsche Bank has raised its target price for Volvo to 321 kronor (previously 290), while maintaining its Hold rating. | [Link](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/276302781.md) |

---

> **免责声明**：本文内容仅供参考，不构成任何投资建议。