---
title: "Goldman Sachs' basic forecast remains that the Bank of Japan will raise interest rates in January 2026"
type: "News"
locale: "zh-CN"
url: "https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/262142686.md"
description: "Three members of Goldman Sachs' economic research department stated in a report that Goldman Sachs' baseline forecast remains for the Bank of Japan to raise interest rates in January 2026, although there is a risk of a rate hike in December. The establishment of a new government led by supporter of Abenomics, Sanae Takaichi, has increased uncertainty around this view. However, Goldman Sachs remains cautiously optimistic about the Bank of Japan's ability to continue raising interest rates and its independence for four reasons. These include a significant improvement in Japan's economic and price conditions compared to when Abenomics was launched in 2012. It now seems that \"there is almost no need to implement large-scale monetary easing policies like Abenomics.\""
datetime: "2025-10-22T01:31:40.000Z"
locales:
  - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/262142686.md)
  - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/262142686.md)
  - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/262142686.md)
---

> 支持的语言: [English](https://longbridge.com/en/news/262142686.md) | [繁體中文](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/262142686.md)


# Goldman Sachs' basic forecast remains that the Bank of Japan will raise interest rates in January 2026

On October 22, Jinshi Data reported that three members of Goldman Sachs' economic research department stated in a report that Goldman Sachs' basic forecast remains that the Bank of Japan will raise interest rates in January 2026, although there is a risk of an interest rate hike in December. The establishment of the new government led by Sanae Takaichi, a supporter of Abenomics, has increased uncertainty surrounding this view. However, Goldman Sachs remains cautiously optimistic about the Bank of Japan's ability to continue raising interest rates and its independence for four reasons. These include a significant improvement in Japan's economic and price conditions compared to when Abenomics was launched in 2012. It now seems that "there is almost no need to implement large-scale monetary easing policies like Abenomics."

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