---
title: "降息是否已成定局？Polymarket 的赌客确信由杰罗姆·鲍威尔领导的美联储将在周三进行大幅降息"
description: "加密货币投注者对美联储将在周三降息 25 个基点充满信心，Polymarket 显示这一结果的概率为 98%。对此结果的投注金额超过 2.08 亿美元。CME FedWatch 追踪器也显示降息的概率为 99.9%。此外，12 月降息的概率为 85%。分析师认为，持续的政府停摆可能会影响美联储的决策，而由于缺乏经济数据，市场对美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的声明保持谨慎预期"
type: "news"
locale: "zh-CN"
url: "https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/263233634.md"
published_at: "2025-10-29T08:02:21.000Z"
---

# 降息是否已成定局？Polymarket 的赌客确信由杰罗姆·鲍威尔领导的美联储将在周三进行大幅降息

> 加密货币投注者对美联储将在周三降息 25 个基点充满信心，Polymarket 显示这一结果的概率为 98%。对此结果的投注金额超过 2.08 亿美元。CME FedWatch 追踪器也显示降息的概率为 99.9%。此外，12 月降息的概率为 85%。分析师认为，持续的政府停摆可能会影响美联储的决策，而由于缺乏经济数据，市场对美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的声明保持谨慎预期

Cryptocurrency punters are largely confident that the Federal Reserve will slash interest rates by 25 basis points on Wednesday. As of this writing, the odds of a quarter-point reduction stood at 98% on the decentralized prediction platform Polymarket.

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