---
title: "Interest rate derivative contracts indicate that the likelihood of the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates in December is less than 50%"
type: "News"
locale: "zh-CN"
url: "https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/265769385.md"
description: "U.S. short-term interest rate derivative contracts indicate that the market expects the probability of the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates by 25 basis points in December to be less than 50%. Federal funds futures and overnight index swap (OIS) contracts linked to the Federal Reserve's meeting on December 9-10 show that the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is slightly below 50%"
datetime: "2025-11-13T17:15:38.000Z"
locales:
  - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/265769385.md)
  - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/265769385.md)
  - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/265769385.md)
---

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# Interest rate derivative contracts indicate that the likelihood of the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates in December is less than 50%

U.S. short-term interest rate derivative contracts indicate that the market expects a less than 50% chance of the Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points in December.

Federal funds futures and overnight index swap (OIS) contracts linked to the Federal Reserve's meeting on December 9-10 show that the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is slightly below 50%

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