---
title: "S&P Lowers U.S. Recession Probability, Impacting Global Markets"
type: "News"
locale: "zh-CN"
url: "https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/276391506.md"
description: "Standard & Poor's has revised its forecast for the likelihood of a U.S. recession within the next year, reducing it to a range of 20-25% from the previous estimate of 30% made in September. According to NS3.AI, this adjustment indicates a more optimistic economic outlook for the United States in the short term. The updated forecast may affect risk sentiment across global markets, including the cryptocurrency sector."
datetime: "2026-02-19T22:58:25.000Z"
locales:
  - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/276391506.md)
  - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/276391506.md)
  - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/276391506.md)
---

> 支持的语言: [English](https://longbridge.com/en/news/276391506.md) | [繁體中文](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/276391506.md)


# S&P Lowers U.S. Recession Probability, Impacting Global Markets

Standard & Poor's has revised its forecast for the likelihood of a U.S. recession within the next year, reducing it to a range of 20-25% from the previous estimate of 30% made in September. According to NS3.AI, this adjustment indicates a more optimistic economic outlook for the United States in the short term. The updated forecast may affect risk sentiment across global markets, including the cryptocurrency sector.

### 相关股票

- [S&P 500 (.SPX.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/.SPX.US.md)
- [Coinbase (COIN.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/COIN.US.md)
- [SPDR S&P 500 (SPY.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/SPY.US.md)
- [VG Financial (VFH.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/VFH.US.md)
- [iShares Core S&P 500 (IVV.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/IVV.US.md)
- [Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLF.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/XLF.US.md)
- [VG S&P 500 (VOO.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/VOO.US.md)

## 相关资讯与研究

- [Should You Really Invest in the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF Right Now? Here's What History Says.](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/281360255.md)
- [Why Is the SPY ETF Up Today, 4/1/2026?](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/281428290.md)
- [Here's How Much $100 Invested In ProShares UltraPro S&P 500 5 Years Ago Would Be Worth Today](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/281388760.md)
- [AI-powered insurance broker Rosella raises $2.6M in funding led by Peak XV Partners, Intact Private Capital](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/281622090.md)
- [S&P 500 Earnings Season Preview: Q1 2026](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/281555757.md)