---
title: "外汇和债券市场的下周展望：美国就业数据成为关注焦点 -2-"
description: "即将到来的一周，将发布菲律宾、泰国、台湾的通胀数据以及香港的零售销售数据。预计菲律宾的通胀将因大米价格上涨而上升，这将影响中央银行的利率决策。泰国预计消费者价格将下降 0.49%，这归因于燃料和猪肉价格的降低。台湾的通胀预计会暂时上升，而香港经济显示出复苏迹象，预计全年 GDP 增长在 2.5%-3.5% 之间"
type: "news"
locale: "zh-CN"
url: "https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/277379622.md"
published_at: "2026-03-02T00:32:09.000Z"
---

# 外汇和债券市场的下周展望：美国就业数据成为关注焦点 -2-

> 即将到来的一周，将发布菲律宾、泰国、台湾的通胀数据以及香港的零售销售数据。预计菲律宾的通胀将因大米价格上涨而上升，这将影响中央银行的利率决策。泰国预计消费者价格将下降 0.49%，这归因于燃料和猪肉价格的降低。台湾的通胀预计会暂时上升，而香港经济显示出复苏迹象，预计全年 GDP 增长在 2.5%-3.5% 之间

The Philippines and Thailand will release February inflation data in the week. Headline inflation in the Philippines is expected to be driven by higher rice prices, said Barclays economists.

The latest data would help set the central bank's future rate path trajectory, after it lowered its key interest rate at its last meeting in February, while noting it will be guided by incoming data.

In Thailand, markets will be watching if consumer prices fall further. According to the median estimate forecast by five economists polled by The Wall Street Journal, consumer prices are expected to have fallen 0.49% on year in February.

This was likely due to lower domestic petrol and diesel prices, as well as softer pork prices, said Eugene Tan of Moody's Analytics. The latest data comes amid expectations of weak growth and subdued inflation.

Taiwan

Taiwan will release February inflation data on Friday.

Economists expect the island's consumer prices to have risen temporarily due to base effects and strong Lunar New Year demand. Estimates range from 1.3% to 1.76%, up from January's 0.69%, the lowest in five years.

Hong Kong

Hong Kong will release its January retail sales data on Wednesday.

The city's latest budget briefing pointed to a broadening recovery. Its economy grew 3.5% in 2025, supported by stronger consumption, investment and housing. Gross domestic product is projected to grow 2.5%-3.5% this year.

Any references to days are in local times.

Write to Jessica Fleetham at jessica.fleetham@wsj.com and Jihye Lee at jihye.lee@wsj.com

(END) Dow Jones Newswires

March 01, 2026 19:14 ET (00:14 GMT)

Copyright (c) 2026 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.

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