---
title: "U.S. Stock Market Outlook | The declines in the three major stock index futures have narrowed, oil prices surge intensifying inflation concerns, and tonight's G7 emergency meeting will discuss the release of strategic oil reserves"
type: "News"
locale: "zh-CN"
url: "https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/278392665.md"
description: "U.S. stock index futures narrowed their declines, influenced by the Middle East conflict and soaring oil prices. Dow futures fell 1.02%, S&P 500 dropped 0.89%, and Nasdaq declined 0.91%. Oil prices rose 10.92% to $100.83 per barrel for WTI, and increased 10.98% to $102.87 per barrel for Brent. The G7 will hold an emergency meeting to discuss releasing strategic oil reserves to address economic impacts. Countries like Saudi Arabia are cutting production, leading to tight global energy supplies"
datetime: "2026-03-09T12:38:03.000Z"
locales:
  - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/278392665.md)
  - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/278392665.md)
  - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/278392665.md)
---

> 支持的语言: [English](https://longbridge.com/en/news/278392665.md) | [繁體中文](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/278392665.md)


# U.S. Stock Market Outlook | The declines in the three major stock index futures have narrowed, oil prices surge intensifying inflation concerns, and tonight's G7 emergency meeting will discuss the release of strategic oil reserves

1.  Affected by the escalation of conflicts in the Middle East, soaring oil prices, and last Friday's weak February non-farm payroll data, the three major U.S. stock index futures experienced a sharp decline. However, as of the time of writing, the losses have narrowed, with Dow futures down 1.02%, S&P 500 futures down 0.89%, and Nasdaq futures down 0.91%. The U.S. stock market fear index VIX briefly rose to 35.02 points, the highest level since April 2025.

![image.png](https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://img.zhitongcaijing.com/image/20260309/1773058886484775.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg)

1.  As of the time of writing, the German DAX index is down 1.19%, the UK FTSE 100 index is down 1.07%, the French CAC 40 index is down 1.79%, and the European Stoxx 50 index is down 1.59%.

![image.png](https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://img.zhitongcaijing.com/image/20260309/1773058977161073.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg)

1.  As of the time of writing, WTI crude oil is up 10.92%, priced at $100.83 per barrel. Brent crude oil is up 10.98%, priced at $102.87 per barrel.

![image.png](https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://img.zhitongcaijing.com/image/20260309/1773058989396654.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg)

## Market News

**France confirms that an emergency G7 meeting will discuss the release of strategic oil reserves to address the Middle East crisis.** The French government stated that during the video conference of G7 finance ministers held on Monday, participants will discuss the possibility of releasing strategic oil reserves. As the rotating presidency of the G7, France has scheduled a conference call at 20:30 Beijing time to discuss the economic impact of the Middle East war. According to previous reports, as oil prices soar, this meeting will discuss the idea of releasing strategic reserves. A French government official confirmed that this option is under consideration. It is reported that three G7 member countries, including the United States, have expressed support for this strategy.

**Soaring oil prices get another boost! The largest oil exporter, Saudi Arabia, follows suit with production cuts, leading to a critical supply loss in global energy.** As the key Strait of Hormuz is effectively blocked by Iranian military forces, and Middle Eastern oil-producing countries like Saudi Arabia are increasingly filling their oil storage tanks, Saudi Arabia, the largest oil producer in the Middle East, has begun to reduce its overall oil production, including crude oil. This move by the world's largest oil exporter follows similar actions by the UAE, Kuwait, and Iraq. After the Iranian military issued a significant threat to the global shipping system, the new round of Middle Eastern warfare has nearly completely shut down the vital global maritime energy transit hub—the Strait of Hormuz, which connects the Persian Gulf to the open sea. This blockage has hindered energy exports from major oil-producing countries, driving up the international oil price benchmark—Brent crude futures significantly **Under the shadow of war, Wall Street veteran Ed Yarden: The probability of a U.S. stock market crash this year has risen to 35%, with only a 5% chance of a rally.** Wall Street senior strategist Ed Yarden has updated his outlook on the so-called "volatile era," believing that as the Iran war escalates and impacts global markets, the risk of a sharp sell-off in the U.S. stock market is increasing this year. Yarden has raised the probability of a market crash for the remainder of the year from the previous 20% to 35%. Meanwhile, he has significantly lowered the likelihood of a market rally (a rise driven more by investor enthusiasm than fundamentals) from 20% to just 5%. This adjustment reflects growing concerns that if the Middle East conflict continues, coupled with the resulting inflationary pressures, it could squeeze household spending, erode corporate profit margins, and complicate the Federal Reserve's policy path.

**$1.8 trillion private credit market faces redemption wave! Giant BlackRock first to "close the gate."** For months, executives in the private credit industry have sensed that a clearing moment is approaching. A series of high-profile defaults have shaken investor confidence. The market's unease over significant exposure to software companies vulnerable to artificial intelligence (AI) is intensifying. Meanwhile, retail investors, who fund companies have spent years courting, are beginning to withdraw from the industry's largest funds, putting pressure on redemption limits originally set to prevent forced sales of loan assets. Subsequently, BlackRock drew a line. The company announced last Friday that it would limit redemptions from its $26 billion HPS Corporate Lending Fund to 5%, while the amount investors had previously requested to redeem was nearly double that limit.

**Job market "emergency brake" hits geopolitical "powder keg": From Oracle's earnings report to CPI, the market seeks a safe haven this week.** This week's focus is primarily on Wednesday's Consumer Price Index and Friday's Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index, which will reflect the price situation as soaring oil prices begin to signal inflationary shocks. Following a dismal February employment report, investors will also closely monitor Friday's Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey, which, along with Michigan University's survey data, will provide a broad interpretation of consumer sentiment. On the corporate front, Oracle (ORCL.US) will release its earnings report on Tuesday, which will be a highlight of the week, as the market reassesses the overall state of AI trading following Nvidia's strong performance that failed to meet investor expectations. Adobe (ADBE.US), Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE.US), Dollar General (DG.US), and Dick's Sporting Goods will also report quarterly earnings updates this week.

## Individual Stock News

**Rising oil prices hit package delivery stocks, trucking stocks, and freight companies.** Trucking and freight stocks are under scrutiny due to soaring oil prices. These stocks often perform poorly when oil prices are high, as fuel costs are expensive and volatile, and these costs cannot be fully passed on to consumers, which compresses profit margins, increases risk, and often weakens freight demand due to overall economic pressures. Since the conflict began, trucking stocks with significant price volatility include: RXO Inc (RXO.US) -16%, Universal Logistics Holdings Inc (ULH.US) -9%, etc At the same time, stocks in the comprehensive freight logistics sector have seen fluctuations, including CH Robinson Worldwide (CHRW.US) down 4%. Meanwhile, package delivery giants have also been hit hard over the past week, with FedEx (FDX.US) shares falling more than 7% and United Parcel Service (UPS.US) shares dropping over 10%.

**Reconciliation! Hims & Hers (HIM.US) reaches a weight loss drug licensing agreement with Novo Nordisk (NVO.US), with shares soaring 48.2% in pre-market trading.** According to informed sources, Novo Nordisk and Hims & Hers Health Inc. are set to shake hands and plan to announce a new cooperation agreement as early as Monday, allowing the Danish pharmaceutical company to license its weight loss drugs for sale on the Hims platform, thus ending their public confrontation. Following this news, Hims' stock price surged 48.2% in pre-market trading, while Novo Nordisk rose about 1%. It is understood that the two parties had reached a similar agreement last year, but Novo Nordisk unilaterally terminated the cooperation after Hims refused to stop marketing generic drugs.

**With a net worth of $13.4 billion, Tesla superfan Leo KoGuan buys Nvidia (NVDA.US) stock twice, resisting the AI bubble theory with a 2 million share position.** Following a significant investment earlier this month, Tesla (TSLA.US) key individual shareholder and billionaire Leo KoGuan once again fulfilled his market commitment on March 7, completing a second round of large-scale purchases of Nvidia shares amid a global sell-off triggered by the Middle East conflict—from bonds to stocks. According to his latest trading updates disclosed on social media platform X, KoGuan purchased another 1 million shares of Nvidia on that day, bringing his total holdings to 2 million shares within just a week.

**From "aloof" to "affordable": Apple (AAPL.US) releases the MacBook Neo, will Google's and Microsoft's "budget" PCs cool off?** Last Wednesday, Apple officially launched the long-rumored low-cost MacBook, opening up a new market for its traditionally high-priced laptop product line. The MacBook Neo starts at $599, with an educational discount price of only $499, targeting schools, students, small businesses, and consumers who want to try a MacBook without spending over a thousand dollars. Apple's Vice President of Mac Product Marketing, Thomas Boger, explained: "We have always wanted to create a more affordable MacBook, but until recently, all conditions had to be met for us to achieve this." Apple is not only launching the MacBook Neo this time.

## Important Economic Data and Event Forecasts

Beijing time 20:30: U.S. January wholesale inventory month-on-month preliminary value (%).

Beijing time 23:00: U.S. February New York Fed 1-year inflation expectations (%).

Beijing time 20:30: G7 finance ministers will hold an emergency meeting on Monday to discuss the possibility of jointly releasing emergency oil reserves coordinated by the International Energy Agency (IEA)

## Earnings Forecast

Tuesday morning: Yala Technology (YALA.US)

Tuesday pre-market: Nio (NIO.US), Kohl's (KSS.US)

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