<p>富时 100 指数期货继续呈现近期下跌趋势，达到今年 1 月 5 日以来的最低水平。周一跌至 9,800 英镑，比今年最高点下跌了 10%，正式进入调整期。</p>
<p><strong>富时 100 指数下跌的主要原因</strong></p>
<p>富时指数今年下跌的主要原因有两个。最显著的原因是持续的伊朗战争导致全球指数出现强烈抛售。</p>
<p>例如，在欧洲，德国 DAX、法国 CAC 40 和西班牙 IBEX 等主要指数均从今年的最高水平下跌近 10%。</p>
<p>美国也出现了同样的趋势，与道琼斯、标准普尔 500 和纳斯达克 100 指数相关的期货在周一下跌。这些指数均从今年的最高水平大幅下跌。</p>
<p>富时 100 指数的下跌还与英格兰银行（BoE）的行动有关，该行正面临一种被称为滞涨的情况，即经济放缓的同时通货膨胀上升。</p>
<p>预计本周发布的数据将显示，英国上个月的通货膨胀率仍高于 3%，高于中央银行 2.0% 的目标。随着今年天然气价格上涨 104%，通货膨胀可能在未来继续上升。原油价格也大幅上涨，布伦特原油作为全球基准，已上涨至 112 美元，较年初低点 55 美元大幅上升。</p>
<p>滞涨是中央银行的主要噩梦。降息以刺激经济增长往往会导致高通货膨胀，而加息以降低通货膨胀则会导致低通货膨胀。</p>
<p>大多数富时 100 指数公司今年都出现了大幅下跌。Barratt Redrow 的股票今年下跌了 32%，因为房地产开发商持续降价。</p>
<p>EasyJet 的股票今年下跌了 30%，因为航空燃油价格持续飙升，这一变化将随着时间的推移影响其利润率。</p>
<p>Entain 的股票下跌了 29%，因为来自 Polymarket 和 Kalshi 等公司的竞争持续获得市场份额。其他博彩公司如 DraftKings 和 Flutter 在过去几个月也大幅下跌。</p>
<p>富时 100 指数的其他主要滞后者包括 Intertek Group、Sage Group、Experian、Barclays 和 Burberry Group。这些公司今年均下跌超过 22%。</p>
<p>另一方面，一些公司今年表现良好。Beazley 的股票在被大型保险公司 Zurich 收购后上涨了 50%。Schroders 的股票在被 Nuveen 收购后，今年上涨了 40%。</p>
<p>BAE Systems 的股票今年上涨了 31%，因为该公司将从持续的伊朗战争中获得实质性收益，导致需求增加。其他主要涨幅公司包括 BP、Glencore、Shell、Centrica 和 BT Group。</p>
<p><strong>富时指数图表分析</strong></p>
<p><em>富时指数图表 | 来源：TradingView</em></p>
<p>日线图显示，富时 100 指数在过去几周内大幅下跌，从上个月的年内最高点 10,920 英镑下滑至当前的 9,800 英镑。</p>
<p>该指数已跌破关键支撑位 10,080 英镑，这是今年 3 月 9 日的最低波动点。它已跌破 23.6% 的斐波那契回撤位 10,116 英镑。</p>
<p>该指数跌破了 50 日和 100 日指数移动平均线（EMA），而相对强弱指数（RSI）接近超卖水平 30。</p>
<p>因此，股票在短期内可能会继续下跌，可能会跌至 50% 的斐波那契回撤位 9,225 英镑。然后，当有迹象表明战争即将结束时，它将在今年晚些时候反弹。</p>

HUKX

L100

VUKE

BAE 系统公司

BDEV

邦瑞(ADR)

<p>FTSE 100 指数期货已进入修正阶段，跌至 £9,800，较今年峰值下跌 10%。此次下跌归因于持续的伊朗战争，导致全球指数出现抛售，以及英国的滞涨担忧，预计通胀将保持在 3% 以上。像 Barratt、Redrow 和 EasyJet 等主要公司股票大幅下跌，而 Beazley 和 BAE Systems 等少数公司由于收购和冲突带来的需求增加表现良好。预计该指数在短期内将继续下跌</p>

<p>The FTSE 100 Index futures continued the recent downtrend, reaching its lowest level since January 5 this year. It dropped to £9,800 on Monday, down by 10% from its highest point this year, officially entering a correction.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>富时 100 指数期货继续呈现近期下跌趋势，达到今年 1 月 5 日以来的最低水平。周一跌至 9,800 英镑，比今年最高点下跌了 10%，正式进入调整期。</p>
</div><p><strong>Top reasons why the FTSE 100 Index is falling</strong></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>富时 100 指数下跌的主要原因</strong></p>
</div><p>There are two primary reasons why the Footsie Index is falling this year. The most notable one is that the ongoing Iran war has led to a strong sell-off in global indices.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>富时指数今年下跌的主要原因有两个。最显著的原因是持续的伊朗战争导致全球指数出现强烈抛售。</p>
</div><p>For example, in Europe, top indices like the German DAX, French CAC 40, and Spanish IBEX have all plunged by nearly 10% from their highest levels this year.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>例如，在欧洲，德国 DAX、法国 CAC 40 和西班牙 IBEX 等主要指数均从今年的最高水平下跌近 10%。</p>
</div><p>The same trend is happening in the United States, where futures tied to the Dow Jones, S&amp;P 500, and Nasdaq 100 indices fell on Monday. These indices have all dropped sharply from their highest levels this year.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>美国也出现了同样的趋势，与道琼斯、标准普尔 500 和纳斯达克 100 指数相关的期货在周一下跌。这些指数均从今年的最高水平大幅下跌。</p>
</div><p>The FTSE 100 Index has also slumped because of the actions of the Bank of England (BoE), which is contending with a situation known as stagflation, which happens when inflation is rising amid the slowing of the economy.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>富时 100 指数的下跌还与英格兰银行（BoE）的行动有关，该行正面临一种被称为滞涨的情况，即经济放缓的同时通货膨胀上升。</p>
</div><p>Data coming this week is expected to show that the UK’s inflation remained above 3% last month, higher than the central bank’s target of 2.0%. Inflation will likely continue rising in the coming, with gas prices rising by 104% this year. Crude oil prices have also jumped, with Brent, the global benchmark, rising to $112, up sharply from the year-to-date low of $55.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>预计本周发布的数据将显示，英国上个月的通货膨胀率仍高于 3%，高于中央银行 2.0% 的目标。随着今年天然气价格上涨 104%，通货膨胀可能在未来继续上升。原油价格也大幅上涨，布伦特原油作为全球基准，已上涨至 112 美元，较年初低点 55 美元大幅上升。</p>
</div><p>Stagflation is a central bank’s main nightmare. Cutting interest rates to stimulate economic growth often leads to high inflation, while hiking rates to lower inflation leads to low inflation.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>滞涨是中央银行的主要噩梦。降息以刺激经济增长往往会导致高通货膨胀，而加息以降低通货膨胀则会导致低通货膨胀。</p>
</div><p>Most FTSE 100 Index companies have plunged this year. Barratt Redrow stock has dropped by 32% this year as property developers have continued cutting prices.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>大多数富时 100 指数公司今年都出现了大幅下跌。Barratt Redrow 的股票今年下跌了 32%，因为房地产开发商持续降价。</p>
</div><p>EasyJet stock has dropped by 30% this year as jet oil prices have continued soaring, a move that will affect its margins over time.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>EasyJet 的股票今年下跌了 30%，因为航空燃油价格持续飙升，这一变化将随着时间的推移影响其利润率。</p>
</div><p>Entain stock has dropped by 29% as competition from companies like Polymarket and Kalshi have continued gaining market share. Other betting companies like DraftKings and Flutter have also plunged in the past few months.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>Entain 的股票下跌了 29%，因为来自 Polymarket 和 Kalshi 等公司的竞争持续获得市场份额。其他博彩公司如 DraftKings 和 Flutter 在过去几个月也大幅下跌。</p>
</div><p>The other top laggards in the FTSE 100 Index are companies like Intertek Group, Sage Group, Experian, Barclays, and Burberry Group. All these companies have plunged by over 22% this year.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>富时 100 指数的其他主要滞后者包括 Intertek Group、Sage Group、Experian、Barclays 和 Burberry Group。这些公司今年均下跌超过 22%。</p>
</div><p>On the other hand, some companies have done well this year. Beazley stock jumped by 50% after being acquired by Zurich, a major insurance company. Schroders stock has soared by 40% this year after being acquired by Nuveen.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>另一方面，一些公司今年表现良好。Beazley 的股票在被大型保险公司 Zurich 收购后上涨了 50%。Schroders 的股票在被 Nuveen 收购后，今年上涨了 40%。</p>
</div><p>BAE Systems stock has jumped by 31% this year because the company will benefit substantially from the ongoing war in Iran as it will lead to more demand. The other top gainers are companies like BP, Glencore, Shell, Centrica, and BT Group.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>BAE Systems 的股票今年上涨了 31%，因为该公司将从持续的伊朗战争中获得实质性收益，导致需求增加。其他主要涨幅公司包括 BP、Glencore、Shell、Centrica 和 BT Group。</p>
</div><p><strong>Footsie Index chart analysis</strong></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>富时指数图表分析</strong></p>
</div><p><em>Footsie Index chart | Source: TradingView</em></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><em>富时指数图表 | 来源：TradingView</em></p>
</div><p>The daily timeframe chart shows that the FTSE 100 Index has slumped in the past few weeks, moving from the year-to-date high of £10,920 last month to the current £9,800.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>日线图显示，富时 100 指数在过去几周内大幅下跌，从上个月的年内最高点 10,920 英镑下滑至当前的 9,800 英镑。</p>
</div><p>This index has dropped below the key support level at £10,080, its lowest swing on March 9 this year. It has slumped below the 23.6% Fibonacci Retracement level at £10,116.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>该指数已跌破关键支撑位 10,080 英镑，这是今年 3 月 9 日的最低波动点。它已跌破 23.6% 的斐波那契回撤位 10,116 英镑。</p>
</div><p>The index tumbled below the 50-day and 100-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMA), while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) moved close to the oversold level of 30.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>该指数跌破了 50 日和 100 日指数移动平均线（EMA），而相对强弱指数（RSI）接近超卖水平 30。</p>
</div><p>Therefore, the stock will likely continue falling in the near term, potentially to the 50% Fibonacci Retracement level at £9,225. It will then bounce back later this year when there are signs that the war is ending.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>因此，股票在短期内可能会继续下跌，可能会跌至 50% 的斐波那契回撤位 9,225 英镑。然后，当有迹象表明战争即将结束时，它将在今年晚些时候反弹。</p>
</div>

FTSE 100 Index futures enter correction as top UK shares plunge

Invezz

HSBC FTSE 100 UCITS ETF

Lyxor FTSE 100 UCITS ETF

Beazley Plc

iShares Core FTSE 100 UCITS ETF GBP (Dist)

Vanguard FTSE 100 UCITS ETF

easyJet plc

Barratt Developments PLC

Redrow plc

由于英国顶级股票的暴跌，富时 100 指数期货进入了修正区间