--- title: "Chicago Federal Reserve President Goolsbee: The path of interest rates depends on the situation in the Middle East, which may lead to either an interest rate hike or a cut" type: "News" locale: "zh-CN" url: "https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/280173711.md" description: "Chicago Federal Reserve President Goolsbee stated that the Federal Reserve's interest rate path will depend on the developments in the Middle East situation, which may require either a rate hike or a rate cut. He pointed out that if inflation performs well, a rate cut may be possible, but if inflation spirals out of control, a rate hike will be necessary. Despite facing uncertainty, the Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged last week and hinted at a possible rate cut. Goolsbee emphasized that inflation factors should be slightly prioritized over employment factors in the central bank's considerations. Another board member, Milan, believes that policy should not be based on the short-term impacts of war and that judgments should be made only after sufficient information is available" datetime: "2026-03-23T13:47:04.000Z" locales: - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/280173711.md) - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/280173711.md) - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/280173711.md) --- > 支持的语言: [English](https://longbridge.com/en/news/280173711.md) | [繁體中文](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/280173711.md) # Chicago Federal Reserve President Goolsbee: The path of interest rates depends on the situation in the Middle East, which may lead to either an interest rate hike or a cut According to the Zhitong Finance APP, Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee stated that he can foresee the possibility of the Federal Reserve needing to raise interest rates or potentially returning to a rate-cutting trajectory, depending entirely on the evolution of the Middle East conflict. In an interview with the media on Monday, Goolsbee said, "If inflation performs well, we may return to an environment of multiple rate cuts throughout the year," adding, "But I can also foresee another scenario where, if the situation develops in a different direction and inflation spirals out of control, we will need to raise rates." Despite the uncertainty brought by the Iran conflict, Federal Reserve officials maintained interest rates last week and continued to signal a potential rate cut this year. Since the end of the meeting, due to heightened inflation concerns in the financial markets, investors have begun to hurriedly price in higher rates. Currently, federal funds futures indicate that the likelihood of a rate hike in 2026 is now higher than that of a rate cut. Goolsbee pointed out that most economic indicators show that the Federal Reserve is "making more progress on achieving full employment than on the inflation target," so at present, he believes that in the central bank's considerations, inflation factors must be slightly prioritized over employment factors. Federal Reserve dove Stephen Milan stated that the central bank should not base its policy decisions on short-term considerations related to the war between the U.S. and Israel in Iran. "We should wait until all information is collected before truly changing our views," Milan said on Monday. "I think it is still too early to make a clear judgment about the situation in the next 12 months." Milan acknowledged that high oil prices could eventually spill over into other goods and services, but he maintained that his pre-war forecast of four rate cuts this year remains valid ### 相关股票 - [S&P 500 (.SPX.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/.SPX.US.md) - [VG Financial (VFH.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/VFH.US.md) - [Cboe Global Markets (CBOE.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/CBOE.US.md) - [Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/.DJI.US.md) - [ISHRS Us Brokers & Sec Exchg (IAI.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/IAI.US.md) - [Fidelity MSCI Financials Index (FNCL.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/FNCL.US.md) - [Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLF.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/XLF.US.md) ## 相关资讯与研究 - [U.S. commercial paper market shrinks in week-Fed](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/279827159.md) - [LIVE MARKETS-Fed rate cut and hike are equally unlikely - BNP](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/279819633.md) - [Is JPM's New Working Hours 'Bossware' Technology Protection or Surveillance?](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/279963728.md) - [US-based StoneX proposes $320 million acquisition of London-listed CAB Payments](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/279223819.md) - [Corporate quarterly reports could become thing of the past under Trump plan](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/279937175.md)