--- title: "The U.S. pushes for a ceasefire in Iran, boosting market optimism! Oil prices and the dollar both fall, while U.S. stock futures and gold and silver rise in response" type: "News" locale: "zh-CN" url: "https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/280386470.md" description: "After news emerged that the Trump administration in the United States is seeking a one-month ceasefire with Iran for negotiations, market optimism increased, leading to a decline in oil prices and the dollar, while U.S. stock futures, gold, and silver prices rose. WTI crude oil futures fell nearly 4%, and the dollar index dropped 0.24%. All three major U.S. stock index futures rose, with spot gold up 1.36% and spot silver rising nearly 2%. The market's response to the potential ceasefire agreement eased concerns about demand destruction and reduced some risk premiums" datetime: "2026-03-25T00:28:56.000Z" locales: - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/280386470.md) - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/280386470.md) - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/280386470.md) --- > 支持的语言: [English](https://longbridge.com/en/news/280386470.md) | [繁體中文](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/280386470.md) # The U.S. pushes for a ceasefire in Iran, boosting market optimism! Oil prices and the dollar both fall, while U.S. stock futures and gold and silver rise in response According to the Zhitong Finance APP, **after news emerged that the Trump administration in the United States is seeking a one-month ceasefire for negotiations, market optimism has increased, leading to a drop in oil prices and the dollar, while U.S. stock futures, gold, and silver have risen.** Data shows that as of the time of writing, WTI crude oil futures fell nearly 4%, trading at $88.89 per barrel, having dipped to $87.82 per barrel during the day. The dollar index fell by 0.24% to 99.20. All three major U.S. stock index futures rose, with Dow futures up 0.73%, S&P 500 futures up 0.75%, and Nasdaq futures up 0.86%. Spot gold rose by 1.36% to $4,535 per ounce; spot silver rose nearly 2% to $72.61 per ounce. Notably, spot gold closed up 3.14% on Tuesday, ending a nine-day streak of declines. ![21.png](https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://img.zhitongcaijing.com/image/20260325/1774397517547326.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg) ![23.png](https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://img.zhitongcaijing.com/image/20260325/1774397525972499.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg) ![22.png](https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://img.zhitongcaijing.com/image/20260325/1774397533793785.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg) Reports indicate that the U.S. has proposed a negotiation plan to Iran containing "15 conditions," including the dismantling of Iran's existing nuclear capabilities, a commitment not to develop nuclear weapons, and a ban on uranium enrichment on its territory. In exchange, Iran may receive a complete lifting of international sanctions and U.S. support for its civilian nuclear program. It is understood that the U.S. is considering pushing for a one-month ceasefire to facilitate further negotiations on the aforementioned terms. The U.S. is reportedly discussing high-level peace talks with Iran with several mediators, potentially as soon as this week, but is still waiting for a response from Iran. Trump seems to be seeking serious negotiations with Iran while also keeping the option to "act at any time." Reports indicate that the U.S. plans to deploy about 3,000 soldiers from the 82nd Airborne Division to the Middle East. Rebecca Babin, a senior energy trader at CIBC Private Wealth Group, stated: "In this news-driven market, crude oil remains the leading indicator. Reports of a potential one-month ceasefire agreement are alleviating the most extreme pricing scenarios and concerns about demand destruction. Although details are still limited and the news is changing, signs of an exit path are reducing some risk premiums in the market." Additionally, U.S. President Trump hinted that Iran has sent a "gift" during negotiations to show sincerity, noting that it relates to transportation through the Strait of Hormuz. According to informed sources, Iran has begun charging transit fees for some commercial vessels passing through the Strait of Hormuz, which is the latest sign of its increased control over this crucial energy maritime passage. However, Iranian officials stated that non-hostile foreign vessels can still pass through the waterway according to their regulations Matt Maley, Chief Market Strategist at Miller Tabak, stated, "Everything ultimately depends on the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. Therefore, even if we hear that negotiations have made 'good progress' this weekend, it still won't be enough if the strait remains highly restricted." In addition to geopolitical risks, Matt Maley also pointed out that the issues facing the private credit market have not eased, so ignoring these problems "is not a good idea." The two giants in the private credit space—Ares Management (ARES.US) and Apollo Global Management (APO.US)—have restricted investor redemptions and even prevented them from withdrawing half of their requested amounts, indicating that the pressure on the $1.8 trillion market is intensifying. Macquarie Group analyst Thierry Wizman believes that any optimism regarding the Middle East war ending with the U.S. first attempting to secure and control the Strait of Hormuz, or gaining more leverage in negotiations with Iran, seems misplaced. He stated, "The longer oil prices remain high, the more central banks will feel the need to show a tightening policy stance." He also noted that the financial pressures caused by hawkish policies aimed at supply-side inflation are much greater compared to monetary policies addressing demand-driven inflation. Due to the impact of the Middle East war, U.S. business activity growth slowed to a near one-year low in March, while prices for raw materials and other inputs have risen. Tiffany Wilding and Andrew Balls from Pacific Investment Management Company (PIMCO) stated, "If this proves to be just a short-term disturbance reflected in current market pricing, then the baseline scenario still assumes moderate global economic growth. 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