<h2><strong>日元技术展望：USD/JPY 每周交易水平</strong></h2>
<ul>
<li>USD/JPY 从 2 月份的低点反弹超过 5%，在接近 160 的水平之前创下新的年度高点。</li>
<li>价格目前在上周的区间内交易，动能背离暗示上涨可能正在失去力量——突破将提供指导。</li>
<li>下周将有重大事件风险，包括日本 CPI 和美国零售销售、ADP 和非农就业数据。</li>
<li>阻力位 160, 160.73, 161.95（关键）- 支持位 157.70, 156.67, 154.79-155.07（关键）</li>
</ul>
<p>最近几周，USD/JPY 持续上涨，稳步收复失地，接近 160 的关键心理水平。尽管反弹势头强劲，但价格在未能进一步上涨至新的年度高点后，现已在该阈值下方整固。随着动能显示出早期疲态，且该货币对保持在一个明确的区间内，市场正接近一个关键的决策点。若突破此水平，将强化看涨趋势，而若未能跟进，则可能触发整固期或更深的回调。USD/JPY 每周技术图表上的战斗线已划定。</p>
<p>查看我最新的 <strong>每周策略网络研讨会</strong>，深入分析这一日元布局及更多内容。<strong>每周一上午 8:30（东部时间）</strong> 直播。</p>
<h3><strong>日元价格图表 – USD/JPY 每周</strong></h3>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://micms.stonex.com//sites/default/files/inline-images/image-20260326134414-3.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://micms.stonex.com//sites/default/files/inline-images/image-20260326134414-3.png"/></p>
<p><em>图表由 Michael Boutros 准备，资深技术策略师；</em> <em>USD/JPY 在 TradingView 上</em></p>
<p><strong>技术展望：</strong> 在上个月的 <strong>日元技术展望</strong> 中，我们指出 USD/JPY 正在交易于 “周/月收盘时的阻力位，关注未来几天可能从该区域反转的情况。从交易的角度来看，如果价格在这一波段上升，损失应限制在 154.79，收盘价需高于 156.67，以推动再次向年度高点进发。” 阻力位在随后的周内突破，USD/JPY 从 2 月份的低点反弹超过 5%，创下新的年度高点。反弹在接近 160 的水平时停滞，动能背离的加剧暗示上涨可能面临风险。价格继续在上周的区间内交易——关注突破以提供短期指导。</p>
<p>上方突破将暴露出 2024 年高周收盘（HWC）<strong>160.74</strong> 的阻力目标，紧随其后的是 2024 年摆动高点 <strong>161.95</strong>。请注意，本周通道阻力在此阈值上汇聚——若达到该水平，预计会有更大的反应。后续阻力位关注 2025 年上涨的 1.618% 延伸位 <strong>163.33</strong>。</p>
<p>初步每周支撑位为 2025 年 HWC<strong>157.70</strong>，并受到年度开盘目标 <strong>156.67</strong> 的支撑。关键支撑位和更广泛的看涨无效位在年度低周收盘（LWC）和 2 月份反弹的 61.8% 回撤位 <strong>154.79-155.08</strong>。若跌破/每周收盘低于该阈值，将暗示更显著的高点已形成，且更大的趋势反转正在进行中。</p>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://www.forex.com/en-us/-/media/project/gain-capital/forex/banners/campaigns/whitepapers/2025/FX-White-Paper-USD-JPY-V2.jpg/query-ZXh0ZW5zaW9uPXdlYnAmaGFzaD0wMkJBNjVFNjVCQjlGNTA4QzVBOTFEQkIzQUZCNTg4RQ?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://www.forex.com/en-us/-/media/project/gain-capital/forex/banners/campaigns/whitepapers/2025/FX-White-Paper-USD-JPY-V2.jpg/query-ZXh0ZW5zaW9uPXdlYnAmaGFzaD0wMkJBNjVFNjVCQjlGNTA4QzVBOTFEQkIzQUZCNTg4RQ"/></p>
<p><strong>总结：</strong> USD/JPY 正在尝试突破年度开盘区间的高点，关注向 160 的推进。从交易的角度来看，如果价格在这一波段上升，损失应限制在 157.70，需突破月度高点以推动下一波上涨。</p>
<p>请注意，我们将在下周初发布日本 CPI，同时美国 ADP 就业、零售销售和非农就业数据也将公布。市场目前已消化今年任何降息的可能性，联邦基金期货现在反映出美联储可能在 10 月加息的 40% 概率。随着对更高能源价格将渗透到通胀中的担忧不断加剧，就业数据将对美联储的下一步行动至关重要，低于预期的就业数据可能会对今年晚些时候加息的预期产生压力。与此同时，市场情绪将主要受到中东局势（与伊朗战争相关）的影响。请关注头条新闻，并关注每周收盘以获取指导。查看我最新的 <strong>日元短期展望</strong>，以更详细地了解近期的 USD/JPY 技术交易水平。</p>
<h3><strong>USD/JPY 关键经济数据发布</strong></h3>
<p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://micms.stonex.com//sites/default/files/inline-images/image-20260326134427-4.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg" alt="" original-src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://micms.stonex.com//sites/default/files/inline-images/image-20260326134427-4.png"/></p>
<p><strong>经济日历</strong> <strong>-</strong> 最新经济动态和即将发生的事件风险。</p>
<h3><strong>活跃的每周技术图表</strong></h3>
<ul>
<li>加拿大元 (USD/CAD)</li>
<li>标普 500、纳斯达克、道琼斯</li>
<li>比特币 (BTC/USD)</li>
<li>欧元 (EUR/USD)</li>
<li>美元指数 (DXY)</li>
<li>澳元 (AUD/USD)</li>
<li>英镑 (GBP/USD)</li>
<li>黄金 (XAU/USD)</li>
<li>瑞士法郎 (USD/CHF)</li>
<li>原油 (WTI)</li>
</ul>
<p>--- 由 Michael Boutros 撰写，资深技术策略师</p>
<p>在 X 上关注 Michael <strong>@MBForex</strong></p>

3067

2820

3110

3167

3069

<p>美元/日元自 2 月份的低点反弹超过 5%，接近关键心理关口 160，但目前已停滞。当前交易在上周的区间内，显示出动能可能减弱。关键阻力位在 160、160.73 和 161.95，而支撑位在 157.70、156.67 和 154.79-155.07。即将发布的经济数据包括日本的消费者物价指数和美国的零售销售，这可能会影响市场方向。如果突破 160 的走势明确，可能会加强看涨趋势，而未能突破则可能导致盘整或回调</p>

<h2><strong>Japanese Yen Technical Forecast: USD/JPY Weekly Trade Levels</strong></h2>
<div class="lb-trans"><h2><strong>日元技术展望：USD/JPY 每周交易水平</strong></h2>
</div><ul>
<li>USD/JPY USD/JPY has rallied more than 5% from the February low, pushing to fresh yearly highs before stalling just below the 160 level.</li>
<li>Price is now trading within last week’s range, with momentum divergence suggesting the advance may be losing strength- breakout to offer guidance.</li>
<li>Major event risk next week with Japan CPI and US retail sales, ADP &amp; NFPs on tap</li>
<li>Resistance 160, 160.73, 161.95 (key)- Support 157.70, 156.67, 154.79-155.07(key)</li>
</ul>
<div class="lb-trans"><ul>
<li>USD/JPY 从 2 月份的低点反弹超过 5%，在接近 160 的水平之前创下新的年度高点。</li>
<li>价格目前在上周的区间内交易，动能背离暗示上涨可能正在失去力量——突破将提供指导。</li>
<li>下周将有重大事件风险，包括日本 CPI 和美国零售销售、ADP 和非农就业数据。</li>
<li>阻力位 160, 160.73, 161.95（关键）- 支持位 157.70, 156.67, 154.79-155.07（关键）</li>
</ul>
</div><p>USD/JPY has pushed higher in recent weeks, reclaiming ground steadily and approaching a key psychological level near 160. The rally has been strong, but price is now consolidating beneath this threshold after failing to extend gains into fresh yearly highs. With momentum showing early signs of strain and the pair holding within a defined range, the market is approaching a critical decision point. A decisive break above this level would reinforce the bullish trend, while failure to follow through could trigger a period of consolidation or a deeper pullback. Battle lines are drawn on the USD/JPY weekly technical chart.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>最近几周，USD/JPY 持续上涨，稳步收复失地，接近 160 的关键心理水平。尽管反弹势头强劲，但价格在未能进一步上涨至新的年度高点后，现已在该阈值下方整固。随着动能显示出早期疲态，且该货币对保持在一个明确的区间内，市场正接近一个关键的决策点。若突破此水平，将强化看涨趋势，而若未能跟进，则可能触发整固期或更深的回调。USD/JPY 每周技术图表上的战斗线已划定。</p>
</div><p>Review my latest <strong>Weekly Strategy Webinar</strong> for an in-depth breakdown of this Yen setup and more. <strong>Join live</strong> on Monday’s at 8:30am EST.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>查看我最新的 <strong>每周策略网络研讨会</strong>，深入分析这一日元布局及更多内容。<strong>每周一上午 8:30（东部时间）</strong> 直播。</p>
</div><h3><strong>Japanese Yen Price Chart – USD/JPY Weekly</strong></h3>
<div class="lb-trans"><h3><strong>日元价格图表 – USD/JPY 每周</strong></h3>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://micms.stonex.com//sites/default/files/inline-images/image-20260326134414-3.png" alt="" original-src="https://micms.stonex.com//sites/default/files/inline-images/image-20260326134414-3.png"/></p>
<p><em>Chart Prepared by Michael Boutros, Sr. Technical Strategist;</em> <em>USD/JPY on TradingView</em></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><em>图表由 Michael Boutros 准备，资深技术策略师；</em> <em>USD/JPY 在 TradingView 上</em></p>
</div><p><strong>Technical Outlook:</strong> In last month’s <strong>Japanese Yen Technical Forecast</strong> we noted that USD/JPY was trading into, “resistance into the close of the week / month, and the focus is on a possible inflection off this zone in the days ahead. From a trading standpoint, losses should be limited to 154.79 IF price is heading higher on <em>this</em> stretch with a close above 156.67 needed to fuel another run towards the yearly highs.” Resistance broke the following week with USD/JPY extending more than 5% off the February lows to a fresh yearly high. The advance stalled just ahead of the 160-handle with building momentum divergence suggests the advance may be vulnerable. Price continues to trade within last week’s range- look for the breakout to offer near-term guidance here.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>技术展望：</strong> 在上个月的 <strong>日元技术展望</strong> 中，我们指出 USD/JPY 正在交易于 “周/月收盘时的阻力位，关注未来几天可能从该区域反转的情况。从交易的角度来看，如果价格在这一波段上升，损失应限制在 154.79，收盘价需高于 156.67，以推动再次向年度高点进发。” 阻力位在随后的周内突破，USD/JPY 从 2 月份的低点反弹超过 5%，创下新的年度高点。反弹在接近 160 的水平时停滞，动能背离的加剧暗示上涨可能面临风险。价格继续在上周的区间内交易——关注突破以提供短期指导。</p>
</div><p>A topside breach exposes topside resistance objectives at the 2024 high-week close (HWC) at <strong>160.74</strong> backed closely by the 2024 swing high at <strong>161.95</strong>. Note that the channel resistance converges on this threshold this week – look for a larger reaction there IF reached. Subsequent resistance is eyed at the 1.618% extension of the 2025 advance at <strong>163.33</strong>.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>上方突破将暴露出 2024 年高周收盘（HWC）<strong>160.74</strong> 的阻力目标，紧随其后的是 2024 年摆动高点 <strong>161.95</strong>。请注意，本周通道阻力在此阈值上汇聚——若达到该水平，预计会有更大的反应。后续阻力位关注 2025 年上涨的 1.618% 延伸位 <strong>163.33</strong>。</p>
</div><p>Initial weekly support rests with the 2025 HWC at <strong>157.70</strong> and is backed by the objective yearly open at <strong>156.67</strong>. Key support and broader <em>bullish</em> invalidation rests with the yearly low-week close (LWC) and the 61.8% retracement of the February rally at <strong>154.79-155.08</strong>. A break / weekly close below this threshold would be needed to suggest a more significant high is in place and a larger trend reversal is underway.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>初步每周支撑位为 2025 年 HWC<strong>157.70</strong>，并受到年度开盘目标 <strong>156.67</strong> 的支撑。关键支撑位和更广泛的看涨无效位在年度低周收盘（LWC）和 2 月份反弹的 61.8% 回撤位 <strong>154.79-155.08</strong>。若跌破/每周收盘低于该阈值，将暗示更显著的高点已形成，且更大的趋势反转正在进行中。</p>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://www.forex.com/en-us/-/media/project/gain-capital/forex/banners/campaigns/whitepapers/2025/FX-White-Paper-USD-JPY-V2.jpg/query-ZXh0ZW5zaW9uPXdlYnAmaGFzaD0wMkJBNjVFNjVCQjlGNTA4QzVBOTFEQkIzQUZCNTg4RQ" alt="" original-src="https://www.forex.com/en-us/-/media/project/gain-capital/forex/banners/campaigns/whitepapers/2025/FX-White-Paper-USD-JPY-V2.jpg?extension=webp&amp;hash=02BA65E65BB9F508C5A91DBB3AFB588E"/></p>
<p><strong>Bottom line:</strong> USD/JPY is attempting to secure a breakout of the yearly opening-range highs, and the focus is on this push towards 160. From a trading standpoint, losses should be limited to 157.70 IF price is heading higher on <em>this</em> stretch with a break of the monthly highs needed to fuel the next leg of the advance.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>总结：</strong> USD/JPY 正在尝试突破年度开盘区间的高点，关注向 160 的推进。从交易的角度来看，如果价格在这一波段上升，损失应限制在 157.70，需突破月度高点以推动下一波上涨。</p>
</div><p>Keep in mind we get the release of Japan CPI early next week with US ADP employment, retail sales, and Non-Farm Payrolls on tap into the monthly cross. Markets have now discounted any rate cuts this year with Fed fund futures now reflecting a 40% probability the central bank may hike rates by October. With concerns that higher energy prices will bleed into inflation continuing to mount, the employment data will be critical in determining the Federal Reserve’s next move and a weaker-than-expected print on employment could weigh on expectations for higher rates later this year. In the meantime, sentiment will be largely driven by development in the Middle East with regards to the Iran war. Keep your eyes on the headlines and watch the weekly close here for guidance. Review my latest <strong>Japanese Yen Short-term Outlook</strong> for a closer look at the near-term USD/JPY technical trade levels.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>请注意，我们将在下周初发布日本 CPI，同时美国 ADP 就业、零售销售和非农就业数据也将公布。市场目前已消化今年任何降息的可能性，联邦基金期货现在反映出美联储可能在 10 月加息的 40% 概率。随着对更高能源价格将渗透到通胀中的担忧不断加剧，就业数据将对美联储的下一步行动至关重要，低于预期的就业数据可能会对今年晚些时候加息的预期产生压力。与此同时，市场情绪将主要受到中东局势（与伊朗战争相关）的影响。请关注头条新闻，并关注每周收盘以获取指导。查看我最新的 <strong>日元短期展望</strong>，以更详细地了解近期的 USD/JPY 技术交易水平。</p>
</div><h3><strong>USD/JPY Key Economic Data Releases</strong></h3>
<div class="lb-trans"><h3><strong>USD/JPY 关键经济数据发布</strong></h3>
</div><p><img src="https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://micms.stonex.com//sites/default/files/inline-images/image-20260326134427-4.png" alt="" original-src="https://micms.stonex.com//sites/default/files/inline-images/image-20260326134427-4.png"/></p>
<p><strong>Economic Calendar</strong> <strong>-</strong> latest economic developments and upcoming event risk.</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p><strong>经济日历</strong> <strong>-</strong> 最新经济动态和即将发生的事件风险。</p>
</div><h3><strong>Active Weekly Technical Charts</strong></h3>
<div class="lb-trans"><h3><strong>活跃的每周技术图表</strong></h3>
</div><ul>
<li>Canadian Dollar (USD/CAD)</li>
<li>S&amp;P 500, Nasdaq, Dow</li>
<li>Bitcoin (BTC/USD)</li>
<li>Euro (EUR/USD)</li>
<li>US Dollar Index (DXY)</li>
<li>Australian Dollar (AUD/USD)</li>
<li>British Pound (GBP/USD)</li>
<li>Gold (XAU/USD)</li>
<li>Swiss Franc (USD/CHF)</li>
<li>Crude Oil (WTI)</li>
</ul>
<div class="lb-trans"><ul>
<li>加拿大元 (USD/CAD)</li>
<li>标普 500、纳斯达克、道琼斯</li>
<li>比特币 (BTC/USD)</li>
<li>欧元 (EUR/USD)</li>
<li>美元指数 (DXY)</li>
<li>澳元 (AUD/USD)</li>
<li>英镑 (GBP/USD)</li>
<li>黄金 (XAU/USD)</li>
<li>瑞士法郎 (USD/CHF)</li>
<li>原油 (WTI)</li>
</ul>
</div><p>--- Written by Michael Boutros, Senior Technical Strategist</p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>--- 由 Michael Boutros 撰写，资深技术策略师</p>
</div><p>Follow Michael on X <strong>@MBForex</strong></p>
<div class="lb-trans"><p>在 X 上关注 Michael <strong>@MBForex</strong></p>
</div>

Japanese Yen Forecast: USD/JPY Stalls Below 160 – Breakout or Reversal?

Forex

Tokyo Ichiban Foods Co., Ltd.

Yamami Co.

Nitto Boseki Co., Ltd.

Tokai Holdings Corporation

JFLA Holdings, Inc.

日元走势预测：美元兑日元在 160 以下停滞——是突破还是反转？