---
title: "Economists Predict Iran Conflict to Push U.S. Inflation Above 3% and Impact Jobs and Growth"
type: "News"
locale: "zh-CN"
url: "https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/280782132.md"
description: "Economists expect U.S. inflation to rise to 3.1% by the end of the year as the conflict in Iran drives up fuel costs, higher than the previous estimate of 2.6%. Additionally, forecasts for consumption, growth, and employment have been revised downward. The core measure, excluding food and energy, is also expected to rise more than previously anticipated"
datetime: "2026-03-27T11:32:18.000Z"
locales:
  - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/280782132.md)
  - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/280782132.md)
  - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/280782132.md)
---

> 支持的语言: [English](https://longbridge.com/en/news/280782132.md) | [繁體中文](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/280782132.md)


# Economists Predict Iran Conflict to Push U.S. Inflation Above 3% and Impact Jobs and Growth

As the conflict in Iran pushes up fuel costs, economists have raised their expectations for U.S. inflation by the end of the year while lowering forecasts for consumption, growth, and employment. According to the latest Bloomberg monthly survey of economists, the U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index is now expected to average a 3.1% increase this year, up from the previous estimate of 2.6%. While this is primarily driven by rising oil prices, respondents also anticipate that the core measure, excluding food and energy costs, will see a higher increase than previously projected.

### 相关股票

- [Pro Ultr Bloomberg Crude Oil (UCO.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/UCO.US.md)
- [VanEck Oil Refiners ETF (CRAK.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/CRAK.US.md)
- [SPDR O&G Ex & Prd (XOP.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/XOP.US.md)
- [VanEck Oil Services ETF (OIH.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/OIH.US.md)
- [United States Oil Fund LP (USO.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/USO.US.md)
- [Occidental Petroleum (OXY.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/OXY.US.md)
- [SPDR Energy Select (XLE.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/XLE.US.md)
- [ISHRS S&P Glb Engy (IXC.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/IXC.US.md)
- [BP p.l.c. (BP.UK)](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/BP.UK.md)
- [SPDR O&G Equip (XES.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/XES.US.md)
- [HSPC (603353.CN)](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/603353.CN.md)
- [iShares US Oil & Gas Expl & Prod (IEO.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/IEO.US.md)
- [iShares US Oil Equip & Svcs (IEZ.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/IEZ.US.md)

## 相关资讯与研究

- [Creative Off-Ramps Needed As Top Goldman Trader Warns "You Can't Jawbone Molecules"](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/280796423.md)
- [EU wheat eases on Iran war uncertainty, US data in focus](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/280835831.md)
- [Somalia's tuk-tuks stall as Iran war drives fuel price spike](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/280609926.md)
- [Fed’s Cook flags rising inflation risks as Iran war dents rate cut outlook](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/280689663.md)
- [Barclays sees 13–14 million bpd oil supply loss from prolonged Hormuz disruption](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/280581618.md)