---
title: "US Stock Preview | Futures for the three major indices rise together, aluminum stocks strengthen in pre-market, Trump says he will destroy Iran's energy facilities if no agreement is reached"
type: "News"
locale: "zh-CN"
url: "https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/281018594.md"
description: "U.S. stock index futures all rose, and market sentiment warmed. Trump threatened to destroy Iran's energy facilities if an agreement is not reached. Investors are focused on the upcoming March non-farm payroll report, analyzing fluctuations in the job market. Morgan Stanley believes that the decline in U.S. stocks is nearing its end, although interest rate hikes remain a short-term risk"
datetime: "2026-03-30T12:24:19.000Z"
locales:
  - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/281018594.md)
  - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/281018594.md)
  - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/281018594.md)
---

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# US Stock Preview | Futures for the three major indices rise together, aluminum stocks strengthen in pre-market, Trump says he will destroy Iran's energy facilities if no agreement is reached

## Pre-Market Market Trends

1.  As of March 30 (Monday), U.S. stock index futures are all up before the market opens. As of the time of writing, Dow futures are up 0.66%, S&P 500 futures are up 0.64%, and Nasdaq futures are up 0.64%.

![21.png](https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://img.zhitongcaijing.com/image/20260330/1774872707926729.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg)

1.  As of the time of writing, the German DAX index is up 0.12%, the UK FTSE 100 index is up 0.87%, the French CAC40 index is up 0.28%, and the Euro Stoxx 50 index is up 0.19%.

![22.png](https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://img.zhitongcaijing.com/image/20260330/1774872715126350.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg)

1.  As of the time of writing, WTI crude oil is up 1.33%, priced at $100.97 per barrel. Brent crude oil is up 2.11%, priced at $107.54 per barrel.

![23.png](https://imageproxy.pbkrs.com/https://img.zhitongcaijing.com/image/20260330/1774872724100151.png?x-oss-process=image/auto-orient,1/interlace,1/resize,w_1440,h_1440/quality,q_95/format,jpg)

## Market News

**Trump says he will destroy Iran's energy facilities if a war agreement is not reached.** Trump threatened that if an agreement to end the war with Iran cannot be reached, he will destroy Iran's energy infrastructure, while also praising the negotiations as productive. Additionally, French Finance Minister Bruno Le Maire stated that G7 finance and energy officials will hold a meeting on Monday to assess the economic and financial impacts of the Iran war.

**First monthly economic data released after the Middle East conflict: U.S. consumer confidence has plummeted, can March non-farm payrolls hold up?** The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the March non-farm payroll report on Friday, which will be a highlight of this week's busy economic schedule. The core question for investors is whether employment numbers will normalize after the dramatic fluctuations of adding 130,000 jobs in January and losing 92,000 jobs in February. Additionally, investors will receive a report on market sentiment and expectations from the World Federation of Large Enterprises on Tuesday; the JOLTS job openings report will also be released on the same day; on Thursday, there will be additional labor market insights provided by Challenger, Gray & Christmas. On the corporate side, Nike (NIKE.US) will release its quarterly earnings report on Tuesday.

**The pullback is nearing its end! Morgan Stanley supports U.S. stocks but warns that interest rate hikes remain a short-term risk.** Morgan Stanley strategists stated that despite the ongoing military conflict between the U.S., Israel, and Iran, there is increasing evidence that the decline in U.S. stocks is "approaching the end stage," citing examples of "growth panic" that occurred previously without accompanying economic recession or interest rate hikes. The strategists pointed out that more than half of the components in the Russell 3000 index have fallen over 20% from their 52-week highs, and the forward P/E ratio of the S&P 500 index has also dropped over 15%, indicating that market pricing is increasingly reflecting the risks brought about by the Middle East war Strategists say: "We believe that the stock market's complacency about growth risks is lower than the general market perception." However, strategists also warn that interest rate hikes remain one of the short-term risks facing the U.S. stock market. Over the past few years, the sensitivity of stocks to interest rate changes has approached historical highs. Meanwhile, the yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury bond is also nearing 4.5%, a level that historically tends to put pressure on stock valuations.

**Inflation shocks will eventually turn into growth shocks! Both Morgan Stanley and PIMCO warn: the bond market is seriously underestimating the risk of a slowdown in the U.S. economy.** Some top bond fund managers on Wall Street indicate that financial markets are severely underestimating the risk of a sharp slowdown in the already weak U.S. economy due to military strikes against Iran. Asset management giants represented by Pacific Investment Management Company (PIMCO) and JP Morgan have begun to position themselves for the impact of an economic recession—they anticipate that a weakening economy will eventually trigger a rebound in the bond market, driving yields significantly lower. Kelsey Berro, a fixed income portfolio manager at JP Morgan Asset Management, stated: "With each day the conflict continues, the market gets closer to being forced to confront the negative effects on economic growth, which will ultimately lower U.S. Treasury yields. Current yields have overall risen to attractive levels." PIMCO's Chief Investment Officer Daniel Ivascyn said: "Shocks that begin with inflation often quickly evolve into growth shocks. We are standing at a critical point of significant economic weakening."

**Bank of America warns that U.S. stocks, bonds, and gold will face pressure in Q2, while the dollar and oil prices may emerge as winners.** Bank of America Securities' new outlook indicates that stocks, bonds, and gold will face challenges in the second quarter, with expectations that the dollar and oil markets will strengthen. The bank's technical analyst Paul Ciana noted in a report on March 27 that recent market trends confirm previous predictions, including rising U.S. Treasury yields, a stronger dollar, and increasing oil prices. Unless there is a clear turnaround in the macroeconomic situation that triggers a sharp reversal, these trends are expected to continue. The bank stated that the S&P 500 index has formed a top pattern and entered a downward trend after breaking a key technical level in early March. If the current trend continues, the index may further decline to the 6000-point low range.

**Middle Eastern aluminum giant suffers "targeted elimination"! Iranian attacks on factories trigger a supply earthquake, LME aluminum prices soar.** As of the time of writing, LME aluminum futures have risen over 4%, trading at $3,423 per ton. Previously, Iran attacked two aluminum production bases in the Middle East, which could exacerbate supply disruptions in a region that accounts for a significant share of global production. The largest aluminum producer in the Middle East—Emirates Global Aluminium (EGA)—stated last Saturday that its factory in Abu Dhabi suffered "significant losses," while the state-owned Bahrain Aluminum Company reported that it is assessing the damage to its facilities. This attack has dealt another blow to the Middle Eastern commodity industry. The Strait of Hormuz is effectively under blockade, preventing various commodity producers, from energy to fertilizers, from exporting normally. The Middle East accounts for about 9% of global aluminum supply, most of which is currently stalled on the inner side of the strait. In addition to shipping disruptions, key industrial facilities were damaged in the attacks. It is expected that even if the conflict ends, the recovery of production operations will take longer

## Individual Stock News

**U.S. aluminum stocks collectively rise before market open.** As of the time of writing on Monday, U.S. stocks of Alcoa (AA.US) and Century Aluminum (CENX.US) both rose over 9%.

**Sysco Corporation (SYY.US) plummets before market open, rumored to be close to acquiring wholesale distributor Restaurant Depot for $29 billion.** Reports indicate that the large U.S. food distributor Sysco Corporation is nearing an agreement to acquire the private company Restaurant Depot for approximately $29 billion (including debt). The deal is expected to be announced later on Monday, with a valuation corresponding to over 14 times Restaurant Depot's revenue. It is reported that by acquiring Restaurant Depot, Sysco Corporation will gain access to a distribution model that has higher profit margins and is growing. As of the time of writing, Sysco Corporation's stock fell over 6% before the market open on Monday.

**Toyota (TM.US) and other Japanese automakers see a collective decline in February sales, as the Middle East conflict evolves into a greater supply chain challenge.** Toyota Motor announced on Monday that its global sales in February fell 2.3% year-on-year to 806,905 vehicles. Honda Motor also reported a 6.6% year-on-year decline in global sales for February, totaling 249,414 vehicles. Although these results occurred before the outbreak of the Middle East conflict on February 28 and do not yet reflect the impact of the situation on the supply chain, the conflict is becoming a larger test for the Japanese automotive industry. Approximately 70% of aluminum used by Japanese automakers is sourced from the Middle East, and as supply chain uncertainties increase, automakers have gradually begun to reduce production.

**Bristol Myers Squibb (BMY.US) reports successful Phase III clinical trial for new drug Camzyos, expected to become the first treatment for rare heart disease in adolescents.** Bristol Myers Squibb announced positive results from the Phase III clinical trial of its heart disease drug Camzyos last Sunday, which is expected to become the first approved treatment for adolescents suffering from rare severe heart disease. The study focused on adolescent patients with obstructive hypertrophic cardiomyopathy, a condition that increases resistance to blood flow from the heart, leading to severe clinical symptoms. Currently, there are no specifically approved targeted therapies for minors, and clinicians typically have to rely on adult treatment protocols. In this Phase III trial, Camzyos significantly reduced indoor pressure that causes heart obstruction compared to the placebo group. After approximately six months of treatment, participants showed significant improvements in heart function, clinical symptoms, and exercise tolerance. Medical experts involved in the study stated that the results represent a significant breakthrough in the field.

## Important Economic Data and Event Forecast

At 22:30 Beijing time, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will participate in a moderated discussion for an economics principles course at Harvard University.

At 04:00 the next day Beijing time, FOMC permanent voting member and New York Fed President John Williams will deliver a speech.

## Earnings Forecast

Pre-market on Tuesday: Jiayin Technology (JFIN.US)

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