--- title: "Bitcoin is closer to its 'buy zone' than it's been in three years" type: "News" locale: "zh-CN" url: "https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/281295268.md" description: "Bitcoin is currently trading 21% above its realized price, indicating that most holders are still in profit. The gap between spot and realized price has decreased significantly from a 120% premium in late 2024 to 21% now, suggesting a rapid compression phase. On-chain indicators show no signs of capitulation or a surge in institutional demand, indicating that a deeper price drawdown towards the realized price of around $54,000 may be necessary to align with previous market cycle bottoms." datetime: "2026-04-01T03:30:20.000Z" locales: - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/281295268.md) - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/281295268.md) - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/281295268.md) --- > 支持的语言: [English](https://longbridge.com/en/news/281295268.md) | [繁體中文](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/281295268.md) # Bitcoin is closer to its 'buy zone' than it's been in three years - Bitcoin still trades about 21 percent above its realized price, indicating most holders remain in profit and that on-chain data do not yet signal a classic long-term accumulation zone. - The gap between spot and realized price has compressed rapidly from roughly a 120 percent premium in late 2024 to 21 percent now, suggesting a fast-moving compression phase rather than a completed market reset. - On-chain indicators show no capitulation event or broad institutional surge in demand, implying that a deeper drawdown toward the realized price near $54,000 may be needed to mirror past cycle bottoms. ### 相关股票 - [Mara (MARA.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/MARA.US.md) - [Bitfarms Canada (BITF.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/BITF.US.md) - [Grayscale Bitcoin Trust BTC - ETF (GBTC.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/GBTC.US.md) - [Galaxy Digital (GLXY.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/GLXY.US.md) - [Coinbase (COIN.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/COIN.US.md) - [Hut 8 Mining (HUT.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/HUT.US.md) - [Strategy (MSTR.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/MSTR.US.md) - [Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust ETF (BTC.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/BTC.US.md) - [Bitdeer Tech (BTDR.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/BTDR.US.md) - [Riot Platforms (RIOT.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/RIOT.US.md) - [American Bitcoin (ABTC.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/ABTC.US.md) - [Bitwise Crypto Innovators ETF (BITQ.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/BITQ.US.md) - [T-REX 2X Long MSTR Daily Target ETF (MSTU.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/MSTU.US.md) - [Bitwise Bitcoin ETF (BITB.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/BITB.US.md) - [Invesco Galaxy Bitcoin ETF (BTCO.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/BTCO.US.md) - [Direxion Daily Crypto Industry Bull2XETF (LMBO.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/LMBO.US.md) - [GraniteShares 2x Long MSTR Daily ETF (MSTP.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/MSTP.US.md) - [Bitwise MARA Option Income Strategy ETF (IMRA.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/IMRA.US.md) - [Siren ETF Trust Siren Nasdaq NexGen Economy ETF (BLCN.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/BLCN.US.md) - [Valkyrie Bitcoin Miners ETF (WGMI.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/WGMI.US.md) - [Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund - ETF (FBTC.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/FBTC.US.md) - [CoinShares Bitcoin ETF (BRRR.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/BRRR.US.md) - [ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF (BITO.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/BITO.US.md) - [WisdomTree Bitcoin Fund (BTCW.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/BTCW.US.md) - [Global X Blockchain ETF (BKCH.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/BKCH.US.md) - [VanEck Bitcoin ETF (HODL.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/HODL.US.md) - [Grayscale Bitcoin Adopters ETF (BCOR.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/BCOR.US.md) - [Defiance Leveraged Long + Inc MSTR ETF (MST.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/MST.US.md) - [ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF (ARKB.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/ARKB.US.md) - [Leverage Shares 2x Cpd Acclrtd MSTRMnETF (MSOO.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/MSOO.US.md) - [Amplify Transform Data Sharing ETF (BLOK.US)](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/BLOK.US.md) - [BTC/HKD (BTCHKD.VAHK)](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/BTCHKD.VAHK.md) - [BTC/USD (BTCUSD.VAHK)](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/BTCUSD.VAHK.md) ## 相关资讯与研究 - [ONFA (OFT) - ONFA Insurance Talk - 27 March 2026](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/280730702.md) - [Bitfarms leads the exit, rebranding to Keel Infrastructure, moving to US](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/281230667.md) - [BTC miners are collectively turning to Bitcoin.](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/281160892.md) - [Pundi X to Hold Live Stream on X on March 30th](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/280918137.md) - [PancakeSwap to Host AMA on X With ForU AI on April 2nd](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/281227922.md)