--- title: "西亚的冲突可能会导致市场进入熊市节奏" type: "News" locale: "zh-CN" url: "https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/281715264.md" description: "正在进行的海湾战争，特别是围绕伊朗的冲突，给市场带来了显著的风险，可能导致市场进入一个长期的熊市。这场冲突已经导致油价上涨和股票下跌，令人想起过去的金融危机。投资者面临不确定性，他们在评估当前市场动荡是浅层熊市还是深层熊市。持续的通货膨胀和供应链中断的潜在风险可能进一步加剧经济挑战，导致市场波动的循环和信心的削弱" datetime: "2026-04-05T08:25:45.000Z" locales: - [zh-CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/281715264.md) - [en](https://longbridge.com/en/news/281715264.md) - [zh-HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-HK/news/281715264.md) --- # 西亚的冲突可能会导致市场进入熊市节奏 There are two types of bear markets. The first is a shallow one: A sharp fall initially, but then the subsequent selloffs are less intensive. Everything gets resolved in four to five months. For almost a decade, India and the rest of the world have got used to this kind. The second variant is a deep bear market, which arrives in instalments, making despairing new lows over months and sometimes years. These are interrupted by powerful rallies, each upswing offering just enough encouragement, until aftershocks appear from nowhere to puncture their optimism again. Each time the market is in a deep dive, investors have to judge: Are we in a shallow or a deep bear market? The answer comes from assessing how much of the trouble is from a single source. If it is, such as Donald Trump’s tariff war, it would be a shallow bear market. If the sources are multifarious and locked in a vicious cycle, as they were in the 2008 global financial crisis, which affected too many institutions and countries, it would be a prolonged bear market. The present Gulf War is perhaps in the second category. ### 相关股票 - [XES.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/XES.US.md) - [159697.CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/159697.CN.md) - [BNO.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/BNO.US.md) - [OXY.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/OXY.US.md) - [OIH.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/OIH.US.md) - [CRAK.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/CRAK.US.md) - [USO.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/USO.US.md) - [XLE.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/XLE.US.md) - [03097.HK](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/03097.HK.md) - [IXC.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/IXC.US.md) - [VDE.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/VDE.US.md) - [BP.UK](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/BP.UK.md) - [159181.CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/159181.CN.md) - [603353.CN](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/603353.CN.md) - [IEO.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/IEO.US.md) - [XOP.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/XOP.US.md) - [IEZ.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/IEZ.US.md) - [ICLN.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/ICLN.US.md) - [UCO.US](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/quote/UCO.US.md) ## 相关资讯与研究 - [美债日债大风暴，如何化解？](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/286897361.md) - [前白宫顾问警告：石油危机正逼近美国，美债收益率恐全线失控](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/287095779.md) - [霍尔木兹海峡，突传大消息！油价跳水！](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/287088870.md) - [刚刚，直线跳水！伊朗发出警告！](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/287047096.md) - [三艘超级油轮突破封锁，成功穿越霍尔木兹海峡](https://longbridge.com/zh-CN/news/287110520.md)